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| 中国土地城镇化和人口城镇化对经济增长影响效应分析 | |
| 引用本文： | 朱纪广,许家伟,李小建,娄帆,陈玉蓉.中国土地城镇化和人口城镇化对经济增长影响效应分析[J].地理科学,2020,40(10):1654-1662. |
| 作者姓名： | 朱纪广 许家伟 李小建 娄帆 陈玉蓉 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 河南财经政法大学城乡协调发展河南省协同创新中心/河南省城乡空间数据挖掘院士工作站，河南 郑州 450046 2. 河南大学黄河文明与可持续发展研究中心/环境与规划学院，河南 开封 475001 |
| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金项目（41971223，41871159）资助 |
| 摘 要： | 依据2000—2017年中国331个城市面板数据，借助计量模型从土地城镇化和人口城镇化2个方面分析城镇化对经济增长的影响效应。研究结果表明：① 总体样本上，土地城镇化和人口城镇化均促进经济增长，但人口城镇化对经济增长的综合效应和投资效应大于土地城镇化；土地城镇化对经济增长的消费效应大于人口城镇化。② 城镇化对经济增长的影响存在时间差异。在时间效应上，土地城镇化中的投资效应具有下降趋势，人口城镇中的综合效应和投资效应具有增强趋势。③ 城镇化对经济增长效应存在区域差异性。东部地区人口城镇化对经济增长的影响滞后于土地城镇化的影响，且消费效应和投资效应最强劲；中部地区土地城镇化对经济增长的拉动作用不显著，人口城镇化主要是通过消费效应和投资效应促进经济增长，且消费效应大于投资效应；西部地区土地城镇化对经济增长的影响大于人口城镇化影响。东北地区的土地城镇化显著地促进经济增长，且土地城镇化的消费效应最强，其次是投资效应和综合效应；人口城镇化对经济增长的影响不显著。土地城镇化对经济增长影响最强的区域是西部地区，其次是东部地区、东北地区和中部地区。 |
| 关 键 词： | 城镇化 经济效应 时间效应 区域差异性 计量分析 |
| 收稿时间： | 2019-09-12 |
Impact of Land Urbanization and Population Urbanization on Economic Growth in China |
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| Zhu Jiguang,Xu Jiawei,Li Xiaojian,Lou Fan,Chen Yurong.Impact of Land Urbanization and Population Urbanization on Economic Growth in China[J].Scientia Geographica Sinica,2020,40(10):1654-1662. | |
| Authors: | Zhu Jiguang Xu Jiawei Li Xiaojian Lou Fan Chen Yurong |
| Institution: | 1. Collaborative Innovation Center of Urban-Rural Coordinated Development/Academician Laboratory for Urban and Rural Spatial Data Mining, Henan Province, Zhengzhou 450046, Henan, China 2. Research Center of Yellow River Civilization and Sustainable Development/College of Environment and Planning, Henan University, Kaifeng 475001, Henan, China |
| Abstract: | By using the panel data of 331 cities from 2000 to 2017 in China, this article builds an econometric model to analyze the impact of urbanization on economic growth from two aspects of spatial urbanization and population urbanization. The results indicate that: 1) In the overall sample, both land urbanization and population urbanization promote economic growth, but the comprehensive effect and investment effect of population urbanization on economic growth are greater than that of land urbanization; The consumption effect of land urbanization on economic growth is greater than population urbanization. 2) Time difference exists in the impact of urbanization on economic growth. In terms of time effect, the investment effect in land urbanization has a downward trend, while the comprehensive and investment effect in population cities and towns has a strengthening trend. 3) There are regional differences in the effect of urbanization on economic growth. In eastern China, the impact of population urbanization on economic growth lags behind that of land urbanization, and the consumption effect and investment effect are the strongest. Land urbanization in the central region does not play a significant role in driving economic growth. Population urbanization mainly promotes economic growth through consumption effect and investment effect, and consumption effect is greater than investment effect. The impact of land urbanization on economic growth in western China is greater than that of population urbanization. Land urbanization in northeast China significantly promotes economic growth, and the consumption effect of land urbanization is the strongest, followed by investment effect and comprehensive effect. The impact of population urbanization on economic growth is not significant. Land urbanization has the strongest impact on economic growth in the western region, followed by the eastern region, northeast region and central region. |
| Keywords: | urbanization economic effect time effect regional difference econometrics |
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