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Regionalization of unit hydrograph Parameters: 2. Uncertainty analysis
Authors:K -C Yeh  J -C Yang and Y -K Tung
Institution:(1) Department of Civil Engineering, National Chiao-Tung University, Hsinchu, Taiwan, Republic of China;(2) Wyoming Water Resources Center & Statistics Department, The University of Wyoming, 82071 Laramie, WY, USA
Abstract:Hydrologic model parameters obtained from regional regression equations are subject to uncertainty. Consequently, hydrologic model outputs based on the stochastic parameters are random. This paper presents a systematic analysis of uncertainty associated with the two parameters, N and K, in Nash's IUH model from different regional regression equations. The uncertainty features associated with N and K are further incorporated to assess the uncertainty of the resulting IUH. Numerical results indicate that uncertainty of N and K from the regional regression equations are too significant to be ignored.
Keywords:Uncertainty analysis  unit hydrograph  regression analysis  probabilistic point estimation methods
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