Prediction of monthly mean chlorophylla concentration in Mikawa Bay using GMDH |
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Authors: | Michio J Kishi Akihiko Yagi |
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Institution: | 1. Ocean Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Minamidai 1-15-1, Nakano-ku, 164, Tokyo, Japan 2. Nagoya Women's University, Shiojicho 3-34, Mizuho-ku, 467, Nagoya, Japan
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Abstract: | Data on organic and inorganic nitrogen and phosphorus, and meteorological conditions observed a few times a month at a buoy station in Mikawa Bay (Japan) are averaged on a monthly basis, and monthly transitions of chlorophylla at the station are predicted by GMDH (Group Method of Data Handling, one of the methods of nonlinear system identification) using these monthly mean data. The prediction is successful. GMDH is useful in describing the ecosystem and in predicting transitions within the bay. |
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