| 溃变原理在雷暴天气预报中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈会芝,谢娜.溃变原理在雷暴天气预报中的应用[J].应用地球物理,2005,2(3):188-193. |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈会芝 谢娜 |
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| 作者单位： | [1]中国民航飞行学院空管学院,广汉618307 [2]成都市气象局,成都610071 |
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| 基金项目： | The project is funded by Youth Scientific Research Foundation of CAFUC （Q2003-23）. |
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| 摘 要： | 本文以欧阳首承教授“不损伤信息”的落区和落点结构分析方法，对四川省广汉地区的间断、持续性雷暴天气进行了具体地分析和预测。结果表明，该方法不仅可揭示天气的转折性变化，并使用10分钟一次数据的自记非规则信息，也已经能预测仅有半小时的局地雷暴天气。这不仅对民用、军用飞行有实际意义，也显示了充分利用自动气象站信息资源的必要性，并应改进目前自动气象站的记录读取方式。
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| 关 键 词： | 雷暴天气预报 溃变原理 落点结构分析方法 记录读取方式 自动气象站 |
| 收稿时间： | 2005-01-06 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005-01-062005-03-29 |
Application of the blown-ups principle to thunderstorm forecast |
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| Chen?Huizhi,Xie?Na,Wang?Qin.Application of the blown-ups principle to thunderstorm forecast[J].Applied Geophysics,2005,2(3):188-193. |
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| Authors: | Chen Huizhi Xie Na Wang Qin |
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| Institution: | 1. Air Traffic Management College, Civil Aviation Flight University of China, Guanghan 618307, China; 2. Chengdu Meteorological Bureau, Chengdu 610071, China |
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| Abstract: | Discontinuous and long-duration thunderstorm weather, which occurred at Guanghan in Sichuan Province, was analyzed and predicted
using structural conversion of irregular information in phase-space from self-recording “time sequence” records for predicting
rain areas, as described in the “Non Destructive Information” method proposed by Professor OuYang Shoucheng. The results show
that this method can reveal important changes of weather as well as, by using irregular self-recording information recorded
every ten minutes, predict local thunderstorms with durations of only half an hour, and even predict intense convections 12
hours in advance. This is significant for civil and military aviation. It shows the necessity of full utilization of information
from automatic weather stations and the necessity of improvements in recording modes in current automatic stations.
The project is funded by Youth Scientific Research Foundation of CAFUC (Q2003-23).
First Author
Chen Huizhi, lecturer of Air Traffic Management College, granduates in Wearther Dynamics from Chenhdu Meteorology Institute in 1994 and
received M.Sc degree..in Traffic Engineering from West-south Jiao Tong Unversity in 2003. Now she is a teacher in Meteorology
Department of Air Traffic Management College in Civil Aviation Flight University of China. |
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| Keywords: | evolution blown-ups structural information phase-space information resources |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 SpringerLink 等数据库收录！ |
