Assimilation of climatic data in a model of circulation of waters in the Black Sea with regard for the space and time behavior of the variances and cross-covariance functions of forecast errors |
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| Authors: | V V Knysh N V Inyushina |
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| Institution: | (1) Marine Hydrophysical Institute, Ukrainian Academy of Sciences, Sevastopol, Ukraine |
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| Abstract: | We propose an improvement of the algorithm of joint assimilation of the data on climatic temperature, salinity, and altimetric
sea level in a model of circulation. Unlike the previous works, the variances of the forecast errors of temperature and salinity
and the cross-covariance functions of of the forecast errors of salinity-level and temperature-level depend on the dynamics
of waters. It is shown that the structure of the fields of cross-covariance functions in the upper mixed layer is formed by
the vertical turbulent diffusion of the variances of forecast errors of temperature and salinity. At greater depths, these
statistical characteristics are mainly determined by the vertical advection. We compared the results of calculations with
and without taking into account the dynamics of the statistical characteristics. The analysis of the influence of the dynamics
of these characteristics makes it possible to reconstruct the mutually adapted climatic fields of temperature, salinity, and
horizontal and vertical current velocities in the Black Sea with the assimilation of data in the numerical model in each time
step.
Translated from Morskoi Gidrofizicheskii Zhurnal, No. 4, pp. 18–31, July–August, 2008. |
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| Keywords: | |
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