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20世纪全球增暖最显著的区域
作者姓名:Zeng Zhaomei  Yan Zhongwei  Ye Duzheng
作者单位:Zeng Zhaomei; Yan Zhongwei; and Ye Duzheng Institute of Atmospheric Physics. Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100029
基金项目:This study was supported by the Ministry of Science and Technology Projects O 1999043400,National Key Project-Studies on Sh
摘    要:Having analyzed a global grid temperature anomaly data set and some sea level pressure data during the last century, we found the following facts. Firstly, the annual temperature change with a warming trend of about 0.6℃/100 years in the tropical area over Indian to the western Pacific Oceans was most closely correlated to the global mean change. Therefore, the temperature change in this area might serve as an indicator of global mean change at annual and longer time scales. Secondly, a cooling of about -0.3℃ / 100 years occurred over the northern Atlantic. Thirdly, a two-wave pattern of temperature change, warming over northern Asia and northwestern America and cooling over the northern Atlantic and the northern Pacific, occurred during the last half century linked to strengthening westerlies over the northern Atlantic and the weakening Siberian High. Fourthly, a remarkable seasonal difference occurred over the Eurasian continent, with cooling (warming) in winter (summer) during 1896-1945, and warming (cooling) in winter (summer) during 1946-1995. The corresponding variations of the North Atlantic Oscillation and the Southern Oscillation were also discussed.

关 键 词:Temperature  trend    Mann-Kendall's  Test.  Significance    Regional  difference    Correlation  coefficient
收稿时间:28 July 2000

The regions with the most significant temperature trends during the last century
Zeng Zhaomei,Yan Zhongwei,Ye Duzheng.The regions with the most significant temperature trends during the last century[J].Advances in Atmospheric Sciences,2001,18(4):481-496.
Authors:Zeng Zhaomei  Yan Zhongwei  Ye Duzheng
Institution:Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy ofScieuces, Beijiug 100029,Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy ofScieuces, Beijiug 100029,Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy ofScieuces, Beijiug 100029
Abstract:Having analyzed a global grid temperature anomaly data set and some sea level pressure data during the last century, we found the following facts. Firstly, the annual temperature change with a warming trend of about 0.6°C/ 100 years in the tropical area over Indian to the western Pacific Oceans was most closely correlated to the global mean change. Therefore, the temperature change in this area might serve as an indi-cator of global mean change at annual and longer time scales. Secondly, a cooling of about -0.3°C/ 100 years occurred over the northern Atlantic. Thirdly, a two-wave pattern of temperature change, warming over northern Asia and northwestern America and cooling over the northern Atlantic and the northern Pa-cific, occurred during the last half century linked to strengthening westerlies over the northern Atlantic and the weakening Siberian High. Fourthly, a remarkable seasonal difference occurred over the Eurasian con-tinent, with cooling (warming) in winter (summer) during 1896–1945, and warming (cooling) in winter (summer) during 1946-1995. The corresponding variations of the North Atlantic Oscillation and the South-ern Oscillation were also discussed. This study was supported by the Ministry of Science and Technology Projects G1999043400 and Na-tional Key Project- “Studies on Short-Term Climate Prediction System in China” under Grant No.96-908-01-04.
Keywords:Temperature trend  Mann-Kendall's Test  Significance  Regional difference  Correlation coefficient
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