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南亚季风降水的双极振荡*
引用本文:段克勤,姚檀栋,邰庆国,郭学军.南亚季风降水的双极振荡*[J].第四纪研究,2006,26(2):192-197.
作者姓名:段克勤  姚檀栋  邰庆国  郭学军
作者单位:1. 中国科学院寒区旱区环境与工程研究所冰冻圈与环境联合重点实验室,兰州,730000;中国科学院青藏高原研究所,北京,100085
2. 中国科学院青藏高原研究所,北京,100085;中国科学院寒区旱区环境与工程研究所冰冻圈与环境联合重点实验室,兰州,730000
3. 山东临沂市气象局,临沂,276004
4. 中国科学院青藏高原研究所,北京,100085
基金项目:国家自然科学基金;国家自然科学基金;科技部"攀登计划"
摘    要:文章利用气象资料揭示在印度半岛南部和北部,南亚季风降水变化在10年尺度以上呈翘翘板变化形式;利用更长的季风降水资料,即300年的喜马拉雅山达索普冰芯降水记录和印度半岛南部石笋降水记录,发现印度南部和喜马拉雅山季风降水呈双极振荡行为。自1700年以来,喜马拉雅山,即印度北部(或印度半岛南部)季风降水经历了1700~1764年期间的减小(或增加)趋势,1764~1876年期间的增大(或减小)趋势,1876~2000年期间的减小(或增加)趋势。同时,发现印度半岛南部的季风降水同北半球温度变化具有相同的变化特征,而喜马拉雅山季风降水同北半球温度变化具有相反的变化特征。南亚季风降水的这种南北翘翘板变化形式,与跨赤道气流有密切的联系。

关 键 词:南亚季风降水  喜马拉雅山  印度半岛南部
文章编号:1001-7410(2006)02-192-06
收稿时间:2005-12-01
修稿时间:2005-12-27

A DIPOLE MODE OF MONSOON RAINFALL IN HIMALAYA AND SOUTHERN PENINSULAR INDIA SUBCONTINENT
Duan Keqin,Yao Tandong,Tai Qingguo,Guo Xuejun.A DIPOLE MODE OF MONSOON RAINFALL IN HIMALAYA AND SOUTHERN PENINSULAR INDIA SUBCONTINENT[J].Quaternary Sciences,2006,26(2):192-197.
Authors:Duan Keqin  Yao Tandong  Tai Qingguo  Guo Xuejun
Institution:1 Key Laboratory of Cryosphere and Environment, Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou 730000; 2 Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100085; 3 Linyi Meteorology Department, Linyi 276004
Abstract:A north-south spatial reversal of monsoon rainfall in Indian subcontinent has been identified. This dipole-like pattern displays an evidence of century variability with two turning points occurred around 1764 and 1876. The 1764 point represents a shift in monsoon rainfall in Northern India from decreasing to increasing while the 1876 point is from increasing to decreasing. On the contrary, in Southern Indian the 1764 turning point indicates a shift in monsoon rainfall from increasing to decreasing while the 1876 point from decreasing to increasing. The identification of this spatial reversal clarifies the former confusion existed between Indian monsoon rainfall and global warming. Our results show that the gross features of the monsoon rainfall in Southern India (or Northern India) are similar (or reverse) to the Northern Hemisphere temperature on centennial time scale over the past 300-year, which implies that the monsoon rainfall in Southern India (or Northern India) will increase (or decrease) during the coming century as greenhouse gas concentrations continue to rise.We inferred that the changes in the Northern Hemisphere temperature might have caused the variation of the cross equatorial flow that is responsible for the dipole-like monsoon rainfall variability. However, the mechanism of monsoon is so complicated that there are still many aspects need to be understood. For example, does the dipole in the tropical Indian Ocean connect with the dipole-like mode of the Arabian Sea branch and the Bay of Bengal branch of the southwest monsoon circulation? We hope that this study would provide a new insight into the study of southwest monsoon.
Keywords:Indian monsoon rainfall  Himalayas  Southern Indian subcontinent
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