| 张北—尚义地震的短临预测回顾与反思 |
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| 引用本文： | 车用太.张北—尚义地震的短临预测回顾与反思[J].国际地震动态,1998(7):9-15. |
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| 作者姓名： | 车用太 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国地震局地质研究所 |
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| 摘 要： | １９９８年１月１０日张北－尚义ＭＳ６．２地震前，正式提出过较为准确的短临预测意见，但没能实现短临预报。该文回顾了地震预测的过程，总结了时间预测与地点判定的新的科学经验。为了使首都圈地区未来的地震短临预报工作取得成效，提出了调整科学思路，建立预报工作规范化与改进十大关系的建议。
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| 关 键 词： | 地震短临预报 地下流体 张北－尚义地震 |
REVIEWING AND REPONDERING ON THE SHORT TERM AND IMMINENT PREDICTION OF THE ZHANGBEI SHANGYI EARTHQUAKE |
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| Che Yongtai,Wang Jihua,Lin Yuanwu.REVIEWING AND REPONDERING ON THE SHORT TERM AND IMMINENT PREDICTION OF THE ZHANGBEI SHANGYI EARTHQUAKE[J].Recent Developments in World Seismology,1998(7):9-15. |
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| Authors: | Che Yongtai Wang Jihua Lin Yuanwu |
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| Abstract: | Before the Zhangbei Shangyi earthquake ( M S6 2)occurring on January 10,1998,a relatively precise short term and impending earthquake prediction was suggested officially,but it was not made public.In this paper,the authors review the process of the earthquake prediction,sum up some new scientific experience in temporal prediction and spacial determination.In order to achieve success in the future research work of short term and impending earthquake prediction for the capital region of China, the authors of this paper put forward some suggestions on revising the scientific ideas,establi shing rules and regulations for earthquake prediction work and improving the relationships between the ten major problems. |
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| Keywords: | short term and impending earthquake prediction subsurface fluid the Zhangbei Shangyi earthquake |
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