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石羊河流域中下游地区地下水位动态特征及变化趋势
引用本文:徐大录,丁宏伟,杨建军,桑金平,高秉金.石羊河流域中下游地区地下水位动态特征及变化趋势[J].甘肃地质学报,2009(2):63-68.
作者姓名:徐大录  丁宏伟  杨建军  桑金平  高秉金
作者单位:甘肃省地矿局水文地质工程地质勘察院;甘肃地质工程勘察院;
基金项目:甘肃省地矿局水工环科学基金项目资助(2006SGH-S3)
摘    要:依据石羊河流域中下游地区64个观测点30年(1978-2007)的地下水位观测资料,定量分析了地下水位的季节性动态特征和多年变化规律及其分布地带,将季节性动态划分为径流、开采、灌溉一开采、蒸发4种类型,多年动态划分为快速下降、缓慢下降和基本稳定3种类型。采用灰色理论建立了所有观测点地下水位的灰色残差修JEGM(1,1)预报模型并进行了预报。预报至2010年,石河河流域中下游地区的地下水位仍将处于不断下降过程,但下降幅度较1978-2007年有所减缓,部分地带地下水位可能趋于稳定。预报结果对于改善流域特别是下游民勤绿洲的生态与环境将起到积极的影响。

关 键 词:地下水位  动态特征  灰色残差修正EGM(1  1)模型  预报  石羊河流域

THE DYNAMIC CHARACTERISTIC AND CHANGING TENDENCY OF GROUNDWATER LEVEL OF REGION IN THE SHIYANGHE RIVER BASIN
XU Da-lu,Ding Hong-wei,Yang Jian-jun,Sang Jin-ping and Gao Bing-jin.THE DYNAMIC CHARACTERISTIC AND CHANGING TENDENCY OF GROUNDWATER LEVEL OF REGION IN THE SHIYANGHE RIVER BASIN[J].Acta Geologica Gansu,2009(2):63-68.
Authors:XU Da-lu  Ding Hong-wei  Yang Jian-jun  Sang Jin-ping and Gao Bing-jin
Institution:1.Institute of Hydrogeoloical and Engineering Geology;Gansu Provincial Bureau of Geology and Mineral Exploitation and Development;Zhangye 734000;China;2.Geology Engineering Institute of Gansu Province;China
Abstract:Based on the groundwater level of observed data from 64 observation point of region in the Shiyanghe River Basin in 30 years,by quantitative analysing annual regime characteristic and perennial regime variation regular and distributed region of groundwater,the annual regime division for four typies,the runoff,exploitation,irrigation-exploitation and evaporates.perennial regime division for three tupies,fast descend,slow descend and basic stable.Using the Grey Theory to establish residual error series GM(1,1...
Keywords:groundwater level  dynamic features  residual error series GM( 1  1 ) model  predicted  ShiyangheRiver Basin
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