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塔里木河下游区域水面蒸发影响因子敏感性分析
引用本文:魏光辉.塔里木河下游区域水面蒸发影响因子敏感性分析[J].新疆气象,2014,8(1).
作者姓名:魏光辉
作者单位:新疆农业大学水利与土木工程学院
摘    要:水面蒸发敏感因素的判断,对于干旱区水资源的规划与利用具有重要指导意义。本文以新疆塔里木河下游铁干里克气象站资料为例,对研究区水面蒸发影响因素进行分析。文章首先采用熵值法对水面蒸发进行敏感性分析,在此基础上运用灰色关联分析法进行验证。结果表明:温度、风速、日照时数这三因素对水面蒸发最为敏感;基于熵值法的敏感因素研究结果与灰色关联分析的结果基本一致,尤其在主要影响因素的判别上。研究结果干旱区水资源规划与利用提供了一种新方法和新思路。

关 键 词:水面蒸发  敏感因素  熵值  灰色关联分析
收稿时间:2012/4/28 0:00:00
修稿时间:2012/6/26 0:00:00

Analysis on Sensitive Factors to Water Surface Evaporation in Lower Tarim River
wei guang hui.Analysis on Sensitive Factors to Water Surface Evaporation in Lower Tarim River[J].Bimonthly of Xinjiang Meteorology,2014,8(1).
Authors:wei guang hui
Institution:Xinjiang Agricultural University
Abstract:The judgment on sensitive factors to water surface evaporation is very important for water resources planning and utilization in arid areas. In this paper, it takes Tieganlike as an example, studies on the factors which affect water surface evaporation. First, analyzes the sensitivity of each factor by entropy value method; second, using gray relational analysis to verified. The results show: temperature, wind speed and sunshine hours are the most sensitive factors; the results of entropy value method and grey relational analysis method are same, especially in the major distinguishing factors. The model provides a new method and new ideas for the planning and utilization of water resources in arid areas.
Keywords:water surface evaporation  sensitive factors  entropy value  grey relational analysis
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