| Abstract: | On deriving the impact model of the evolution of the fruit industry distribution in China and the datum of 22 major provinces planting fruit in 1985-2019, it studies the impact of agricultural labor price, non-agricultural labor prices and the proportion of wage in farmers' income on the distribution evolution of fruit industry empirically. The results show that: The increases of agricultural labor price, non-agricultural labor prices and the proportion of wages in farmers' income bring a substitution effect on fruit planting in provinces from eastern areas, which results in a decline or unchanging acreage of fruit planting, that is the acreage proportions in provinces from eastern areas decrease; There are inhibitory effect of agricultural labor price, non-agricultural labor prices and the proportion of wages in farmers' income on fruit planting by which the substitution effect and the income effect offset each other, so that the proportion of fruit planting in middle areas has no significant change; There are comparative advantage produced by lower agricultural labor price and lower non-agricultural labor prices and income effect produced by increasing wages which stimulate the acreages of fruit planting expand and the acreages proportion increase in large scale in provinces from northwest and southwest areas so that a distribution of "westward and inward expansion" of the fruit plant in China is forming. Therefore, it is necessary to solve the problems of excessively high prices of rural labor in areas suitable for fruit plant and low prices of rural labor in unsuitable areas. © 2023 Editorial Department of World Regional Studies. All rights reserved. |
