The settlement intention of urban-to-urban migrants in China: Spatial differences and driving factors |
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| Authors: | WANG Xinming QI Wei LIU Shenghe LIU Zhen GAO Ping JIN Haoran |
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| Institution: | 1. Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS, Beijing 100101, China2. Key Laboratory of Regional Sustainable Development Modelling, CAS, Beijing 100101, China3. College of Resources and Environment, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China4. Policy Research Center, Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, Beijing 100835, China |
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| Abstract: | China has entered the middle-to-late stage of urbanization. The scale of urban- to-urban migrants, which more refers to the urban-to-urban floating population (UUFP) across China, has significantly increased. UUFP settlement intention is a crucial issue for urbanization development. This study examines the spatial pattern and factors influencing the settlement intention of the UUFP in China based on data obtained through its dynamic monitoring in 2017 and the binary logistic model. The results show that most members of the UUFP were married, older, better educated, and had a higher income than the average person with extensive migration experience. We correlated a high settlement intention with developed economies, coastal areas, good environmental conditions, and more amenities in cities such as Beijing, Tianjin, Shanghai, and Zhuhai. Amenities were more impactful on settlement intention than economic factors, from individual and regional perspectives. The UUFP more often sought equality of education for children and social integration in its choices of destinations. However, the distance was not a hindrance to intention to settle but played a substantial role in influencing it. We suggest optimizing the stock of the UUFP in large cities, improving public education services, and promoting remote urbanization. Likewise, industrial transfer and enhanced public resources may ease the pressure of large UUFP flows into large cities. |
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| Keywords: | population migration urban-to-urban floating population settlement intention urbanization China |
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