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广州前汛期暴雨气候特征分析
引用本文:高亭亭,梁卫,罗聪,温晶.广州前汛期暴雨气候特征分析[J].广东气象,2012,34(2):1-4,9.
作者姓名:高亭亭  梁卫  罗聪  温晶
作者单位:1. 广州中心气象台,广东广州,510080
2. 民航江西空管分局气象台,江西南昌,330114
3. 广东省气象台,广东广州,510080
基金项目:广州市气象局项目,广东省气象局项目,气象关键技术集成与应用重点项目,公益性行业(气象)科研专项项目
摘    要:利用广州站1951~2009年的降水资料和历史天气图资料分析广州在过去59年前汛期(4~6月)暴雨气候变化特征以及暴雨产生的天气形势分类得出以下结论:1)广州前汛期暴雨累积雨量与前汛期降水变化趋势一致,呈逐年增加趋势,前汛期暴雨贡献率呈现波动变化;2)5、6月份的暴雨占前汛期累积雨量的比例呈10年左右的周期变化,未来10年广州可能再次进入5月份暴雨高发期;3)前汛期暴雨频次约占全年暴雨频次52.1%,其小波功率谱呈现4~8年的周期振荡,且在1987~2003年最为显著;4)广州前汛期暴雨偏多的年份,冷暖气团势力相当,在华南地区交汇的机会多,广州暴雨偏多,而暴雨偏少的年份,是极圈附近冷气团过于强盛而海上暖气团过于弱或者冷气团有一定的势力,但是海上暖气团过于强盛,华南地区由单一气团控制,广州暴雨偏少。

关 键 词:天气学  前汛期暴雨  气候特征  小波分析  锋面暴雨  广州

Climate Features of Torrential Rain in the First Flood Season of Guangzhou
GAO Ting-ting , LIANG Wei , LUO Cong , WEN Jing.Climate Features of Torrential Rain in the First Flood Season of Guangzhou[J].Journal of Guangdong Meteorology,2012,34(2):1-4,9.
Authors:GAO Ting-ting  LIANG Wei  LUO Cong  WEN Jing
Institution:1.Guangzhou Central Meteorological Observatory,Guangzhou 510080; 2.Meteorological Observatory,Jiangxi Branch of Air Traffic Management Bureau,CAAC,Nanchang 330114; 3.Guangdong Meteorological Observatory,Guangzhou 510080)
Abstract:Precipitation data of Guangzhou with the historical synoptic maps were studied,to investigate the climate features and the weather patterns for torrential rainfall(hereafter as TR) events in Guangzhou during the first flood season(April to June,hereafter as FFS) in recent 59 years.Results show that 1) the accumulated rainfall of TR-FFS has the same increasing trend with the total accumulated rainfall in FFS and the contribution of the TR-FFS shows a wave pattern;2) the proportion of the accumulated TR during May and June in the total accumulated rainfall of FFS,has a 10-year periodic variation,indicating high probability of TR in May in the next 10 years;3) the frequency of TR-FFS contributes 52.1% to that of the whole year TR with 4-8 year oscillation in wavelet power spectrum;4) TR-FFS occur when cold and warm air mass converge in Guangzhou with even intensity,and single air mass dominating south China usually leads to less TR-FFS in Guangzhou.
Keywords:synoptics  torrential rain in the first flood season  climatological features  wavelet analysis  frontal rainstorm  Guangzhou
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