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无锡极端气温事件的气候分析
引用本文:阮蔚琳,钱永甫,马志强,章志芹,李琼川.无锡极端气温事件的气候分析[J].气象科学,2008,28(Z1).
作者姓名:阮蔚琳  钱永甫  马志强  章志芹  李琼川
作者单位:1. 苏省江阴市气象局,江苏江阴,214432
2. 京大学大气科学系,南京,210093
3. 苏省无锡市气象局,江苏无锡,214011
基金项目:国家重点基础研究发展计划(973计划)  
摘    要:为了解气候增暖情况下,无锡地区极端最高和最低气温的气候特征,用阈值检测方法对无锡市1959-2007年的日最高气温、日最低气温进行了研究,分析了极端事件的发生规律,得出主要结论:(1)从年代际看,不论是日最高气温或日最低气温,2001-2007年偏高事件最多,偏低事件最少.(2)最低气温从1980s初开始稳定上升.(3)在3、5、7、12月比较容易出现异常的气温.月内异常气温出现次数多少主要与季节更替和天气系统的转换有关.(4)日最低气温不论冬春夏秋,都是明显升高.日最高气温冬、春、秋季呈升高趋势,而夏季震荡加大.即在夏季,日最高气温偏高的事件增多,日最高气温偏低的事件也增多.

关 键 词:极端气温  极端事件  阈值检测

A climatic analysis of Wuxi's extreme temperature events
Ruan Weilin,Qian Yongfu,Ma Zhiqiang,Zhang Zhiqin,Li Qiongchuan.A climatic analysis of Wuxi''s extreme temperature events[J].Scientia Meteorologica Sinica,2008,28(Z1).
Authors:Ruan Weilin  Qian Yongfu  Ma Zhiqiang  Zhang Zhiqin  Li Qiongchuan
Institution:Ruan Weilin1 Qian Yongfu2 Ma Zhiqiang3 Zhang Zhiqin3 Li Qiongchuan3(1 Jiangyin Meteorological Bureau,Jiangsu Jiangyin 214432)(2 Department of Atmospheric Sciences,Nanjing University,Nanjing 210093)(3 Wuxi Meteorological Bureau,Jiangsu Wuxi 214011)
Abstract:Checking Wuxi's daily high and low temperature with threshold value method,analyzing the rules of the event occurrence,several results are concluded.(1) In decade dimension,the 2 000th century has the most high-leaning events and the least low-leaning events.(2) The low temperature had been rising from the 1980.(3) Early or late seasonal change and weather system change mainly decide the number of the event.(4) In summer,the high-leaning event number of the high temperature is increasing,and the low-leaning...
Keywords:Extreme temperature Extreme event Threshold value  
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