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Inundation extent as a key parameter for assessing the magnitude and return period of flooding events in southern Iceland
Authors:Emmanuel Pagneux  Guðrún Gísladóttir  Árni Snorrason
Institution:1. School of Engineering and Environmental Sciences , University of Iceland , 101 Reykjavík, Iceland;2. Icelandic Meteolrological Office , 150 Reykjavík, Iceland emmanuel@vedur.is;4. Institute of Earth Sciences, University of Iceland , 101 Reykjavík, Iceland;5. Icelandic Meteolrological Office , 150 Reykjavík, Iceland
Abstract:Abstract

River flow conditions in many watersheds of Iceland are particularly disturbed during winter by the formation, drifting and accumulation of river ice, whose impact on water encroachment and extent of inundations is not reflected in the discharge records. It is therefore necessary to use river discharge with great caution when assessing the magnitude of past inundations in Iceland, and to give attention to other flood magnitude parameters. A GIS-based methodology is presented that focuses on inundation extent as an alternative parameter for the assessment and ranking of the magnitude of past flooding events in the Ölfusá-Hvítá basin, known as one of the most dangerous flood-prone river complexes in Iceland. Relying ultimately on a macro-scale grid, the method enabled the reconstruction of the extent of inundations, the delineation of the flood plain, and, finally, some estimation of the likelihood of flooding of exposed areas that include marine submergences and river floods for both open water and ice conditions.

Citation Pagneux, E., Gísladóttir, G. & Snorrason, Á. (2010) Inundation extent as a key parameter for assessing the magnitude and return period of flooding events in southern Iceland. Hydrol. Sci. J. 55(5), 704–716.
Keywords:polygenic inundations  ice jamming  spatial analysis  return period  susceptibility to flooding  inundation grid  Iceland
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