| 青海省1990年以来地震大形势预测成果分析和探讨 |
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| 引用本文： | 屠泓为,李智敏,万秀红.青海省1990年以来地震大形势预测成果分析和探讨[J].高原地震,2008,20(4):21-26. |
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| 作者姓名： | 屠泓为 李智敏 万秀红 |
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| 作者单位： | 青海省地震局,青海,西宁,810001 |
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| 基金项目： | 青海省地震局工程研究院,青海省地震科学基金(2007)等项目资助 |
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| 摘 要： | 对1990年以来青海省年度会商报告进行了统计分析，发现1994～2001年度的地震大形势预测结果基本与实际地震情况一致，而2002～2005年度的预测结论与实际发生的地震有一些背离。经分析认为，这可能与该时段的强地震活动情况较弱有关。2006～2008年度地震大形势的预测工作又获得了较为可喜的业绩，表明该方面研究人员具有很强的专业性和分析预测能力，体现了青海省地震局在地震大形势研究工作中作出了值得肯定的成绩。同时，也说明地震大形势预测工作是一项复杂且综合性很强的研究工作，需要一批知识面广，专业背景相对宽的研究人员来做综合性的研究。
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| 关 键 词： | 青海省 地震大形势 地震预测 |
ANALYSIS AND DISCUSSION ON THE FORECAST ACHIEVEMENT OF STRONG EARTHQUAKE TENDENCY IN QINGHAI PROVINCE SINCE 1990 |
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| TU Hong-wei,LI Zhi-min,WAN Xiu-hong.ANALYSIS AND DISCUSSION ON THE FORECAST ACHIEVEMENT OF STRONG EARTHQUAKE TENDENCY IN QINGHAI PROVINCE SINCE 1990[J].Plateau Earthquake Research,2008,20(4):21-26. |
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| Authors: | TU Hong-wei LI Zhi-min WAN Xiu-hong |
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| Institution: | Earthquake Administration of Qinghai Province;Xining 810001;China |
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| Abstract: | In this paper,it is analyzed the earthquake tendency yearly meeting reports since 1990.The results show that the earthquake forecasts are generally agreed with the actually events from 1994 to 2001,but they are not agreed better form 2002 to 2005,perhaps the earthquake activity is very poor in that period.And from 2006 to 2008,the researchers have obtained some outstanding achievement,it shows that they have strong ability in their specialty and forecast study. |
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| Keywords: | Qinghai province Strong earthquake tendency Earthquake forecast |
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