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利用地下水位预报地震的新思路与新方法
引用本文:贾化周,秦清娟.利用地下水位预报地震的新思路与新方法[J].华北地震科学,1996,14(3):28-37.
作者姓名:贾化周  秦清娟
作者单位:河北省地震局
基金项目:“八·五”攻关项目,1990年地震科学联合基金
摘    要:根据井孔水位的不同反应,分别采用不同方法对水位进行含水层应力的演和异常信息的提取,并分别给出了对应地震的概率。对含水层应力异常展开了时空演化和频次分析,从而提出了大同地震是区域应力场演化的结果,在这一演化过程中,井孔含水 应力异常具有异常空间分布的区域性、异常时间分布的阶段性和异常时空转移特征,以及异常频次与震中的一致性。

关 键 词:地下水位  地震预报  应力场  异常频次  地下水

A NEW IDEA AND A NEW METHOD FOR EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION BY GROUNDWATER LEVEL
Jia Huazhou,Qin Qingjuan.A NEW IDEA AND A NEW METHOD FOR EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION BY GROUNDWATER LEVEL[J].North China Earthquake Sciences,1996,14(3):28-37.
Authors:Jia Huazhou  Qin Qingjuan
Abstract:By different responses of well water level and by different methods, the inversion of aquifer stress for water level has been made,the anomalous information has been extracted and the corresponding earthquake probability has been given respectively.The analysis of time-space evolution and frequency of aquifer stress anomalies has been made,thus it is put forward that the Datong earthquake resulted from the regional stress field evolution,in this evolution process,the well aquifer stress anomalies showed regional characteristics in anomalous space distribution,stage characteristics in anomalous time distribution,transfer characteristics of anomalous time and space,and consistency of anomalies frequency and the epicenter.
Keywords:groundwater level  earthquake prediction  stress field  anomalies frequency  
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