| 广东蒸发皿蒸发量的季节变化特征及其影响因素的灰色关联分析 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 范伶俐,郭品文,张福颖,周立群,王风华.广东蒸发皿蒸发量的季节变化特征及其影响因素的灰色关联分析[J].南京气象学院学报,2010,33(6):703-710. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 范伶俐 郭品文 张福颖 周立群 王风华 |
| |
| 作者单位： | [1]南京信息工程大学大气科学学院,江苏南京210044 [2]广东海洋大学海洋与气象学院,广东湛江524008 [3]肇庆市气象局,广东肇庆526040 [4]揭阳市气象局,广东揭阳522031 |
| |
| 基金项目： | 广东海洋大学自然科学基金资助项目 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 为了研究广东省的气候变化规律及其成因，利用1961—2003年广东省86个气象站点的观测数据，采用Mann—Kendal非参数检验方法、EOF经验正交分解方法和灰色关联分析方法，对广东省近43a来蒸发皿蒸发量及其主要影响因子（日照时数、风速、降水量、饱和差、气温日较差、气温等）进行了相关性及趋势性分析。结果表明：43a来广东省的季蒸发皿蒸发量的下降主要表现在春季、前汛期和后汛期，其减少趋势通过或接近通过99％置信水平的统计检验，而秋季的变化不明显；四季蒸发皿蒸发量的下降主要表现在粤东沿海、珠三角和粤西南等沿海地区，不同季节气候变异中心的位置不同；日照时数下降以及风速、气温日较差的减小可能是近年来广东四季蒸发皿蒸发量下降的主要原因。
|
| 关 键 词： | 广东省 蒸发皿蒸发量 季节变化 空间分布 灰色关联分析 |
Variations of Seasonal Pan Evaporation and Gray Relation Analysis on Its Influencing Factors in Guangdong |
| |
| FAN Ling-li,GUO Pin-wen,ZHANG Fu-ying,ZHOU Li-qun,WANG Feng-hua.Variations of Seasonal Pan Evaporation and Gray Relation Analysis on Its Influencing Factors in Guangdong[J].Journal of Nanjing Institute of Meteorology,2010,33(6):703-710. |
| |
| Authors: | FAN Ling-li GUO Pin-wen ZHANG Fu-ying ZHOU Li-qun WANG Feng-hua |
| |
| Institution: | 1. School of Atmospheric Sciences,NUIST,Nanjing 210044,China; 2. College of Oceanography and Meteorology,Guangdong Ocean University, Zhanjiang 524088,China; 3. Zhaoqing Meteorological Bureau,Zhaoqing 526040, China;4. Jieyang Meteorological Bureau, Jieyang 522031 ,China) |
| |
| Abstract: | In order to explore the law of climate change and its causes in Guangdong Province, based on the observations at 86 stations of Guangdong from 1961 to 2003, Mann-Kendall trend test, EOF analysis and Gray relation analysis were applied to determine the trend of seasonal pan evaporation and its corre- lations with the meteorological influencing factors （e. g. sunshine duration, wind speed, precipitation, saturation deficit, daily range of temperature, air temperature, etc. ）. Results show that the seasonal pan evaporation had significant decreasing trends in spring, the first rain season and the latter rain season in the last 43 years, with statistical significance passing the 99% confidence level, but the trend was not significant in autumn. Spatially, the anomalous centers of seasonal pan evaporation were mainly located in the Pearl River Delta, the south-west of Guangdong and the eastern coastal region of Guangdong, and the anomalous centers were different in different seasons. The decrease of seasonal pan evaporation was mostly resulted from reduction of sunshine duration, wind speed and daily range of temperature in Guangdong. |
| |
| Keywords: | Guangdong Province pan evaporation seasonal variation spatial distribution gray relation analysis |
| 本文献已被 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
|
