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太阳活动22周低年质子事件的预报分析
引用本文:朱翠莲,李威.太阳活动22周低年质子事件的预报分析[J].地球物理学进展,1999,14(Z1).
作者姓名:朱翠莲  李威
作者单位::朱翠莲 李威(中国科学院北京天文台,北京 100012)
摘    要:In this paper,5 proton events and corresponding active regions in the descending phase of Solar Cycle 22(19931995) are analysed. The result shows that (1)The proton flares in 19931995 occurred mainly in the longitudy zone of 140270 degree. (2)4 of 5 events (80%) studied have their small magnetic fluxes to disappear in their magnetic flux regions with a major polarity,one day before the event. (3)It is 60% of the event studied to show characteristic of the merging of 2 or greater than 2 magnetic fluxes with similar polarity in their active regions,one day before of the proton event. The results are possibly useful for the short-term prediction of proton events.

关 键 词:太阳  太阳质子事件  预报
修稿时间:1998年8月29日

AN ANALYSIS OF SHORT-TERM PREDICTIONOF SOLAR PROTON EVENTS INTHE DESCENDING PHASE OF SOLAR CYCLE 22(1993
ZHU Cuilian,LI Wei.AN ANALYSIS OF SHORT-TERM PREDICTIONOF SOLAR PROTON EVENTS INTHE DESCENDING PHASE OF SOLAR CYCLE 22(1993[J].Progress in Geophysics,1999,14(Z1).
Authors:ZHU Cuilian  LI Wei
Abstract:
Keywords:Sun-proton event-prediction  
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