| 泥石流危险范围预测模型及在昆明东川城区的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 李阔,唐川.泥石流危险范围预测模型及在昆明东川城区的应用[J].地球科学与环境学报,2006,28(4):69-72. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李阔 唐川 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 云南大学,资源环境与地球科学学院,云南,昆明,650091
2. 成都理工大学,地质灾害防治与地质环境保护国家实验室,四川,成都,610059 |
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| 基金项目： | 云南省十五科技攻关项目(2001NG44) |
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| 摘 要： | 结合泥石流危险范围模型实验数据,运用多元回归分析方法探讨了泥石流危险范围预测,并进行了误差分析。以昆明市东川城区后山3条泥石流沟为例,运用该模型对其危险范围进行了预测分析,为东川城区泥石流防灾提供了科学依据。
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| 关 键 词： | 泥石流 城市 多元回归分析 危险范围 昆明 |
| 文章编号： | 1672-6561（2006）04-0069-04 |
| 收稿时间： | 2006-02-10 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006年2月10日 |
Application of Prediction Model of Hazard Range about Debris Flows around Dongchuan Zone in Kunming |
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| LI Kuo,TANG Chuan.Application of Prediction Model of Hazard Range about Debris Flows around Dongchuan Zone in Kunming[J].Journal of Earth Sciences and Environment,2006,28(4):69-72. |
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| Authors: | LI Kuo TANG Chuan |
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| Institution: | 1. School of Resource Enivironment and Earth Science, Yunnan University, Kunming 650091, Yunnan , China ; 2. State key Laboratory o f Geohazard Prevention and Geoenvironment Protection, Chengdu University of Technology , Chengdu 610069, Sichuan, China |
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| Abstract: | Based on the experiment data of hazard range model of debris flows,this paper set up the prediction model of hazard range of debris flows by application of the methodology of multiple regression analysis and the examines the results by errors of the equations.The studied area is located in Dongchuan zone in Kunming city.Using the prediction model of hazard range of debris flows,this paper calculates and obtains the hazard range of the above three debris flow valleys of the area.The research results provides methodology for the prevention and reduction of hazard. |
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| Keywords: | debris flow cities multiple regression analysis hazard range Kunming |
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