| 晋冀蒙交界地区中强地震危险性的灰色拓扑预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 王秀文,赵丽华.晋冀蒙交界地区中强地震危险性的灰色拓扑预测[J].西北地震学报,2000,22(1):80-83. |
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| 作者姓名： | 王秀文 赵丽华 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 中国科学技术大学,安徽,合肥,230026
2. 太行中学,山西,太原,030006 |
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| 摘 要： | 应用灰色系统理论 ,建立了晋冀蒙交界地区的 5级和 6级以上地震的灰色预测模型 .利用上述模型对该地区未来几年内中强地震的活动趋势进行了预测
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| 关 键 词： | 灰色理论 中期预报 趋势预报 数学模型 地震预报 |
| 收稿时间： | 1999/9/23 0:00:00 |
GREY PREDICTION FOR MODERATE AND STRONG EARTHQUAKE TREND OF THE JUNCTURE OF SHANXI,HEBEI AND INNER MONGOLIA |
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| WANG Xiu-wen and ZHAO Li-hua.GREY PREDICTION FOR MODERATE AND STRONG EARTHQUAKE TREND OF THE JUNCTURE OF SHANXI,HEBEI AND INNER MONGOLIA[J].Northwestern Seismological Journal,2000,22(1):80-83. |
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| Authors: | WANG Xiu-wen and ZHAO Li-hua |
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| Institution: | University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei 230026, China and Taihang Middle School, Taiyuan 030006, China |
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| Abstract: | The dynamic model forecasting the origin time of earthquake is established by using the grey control system and choosing M S5.0 seismic sequences as samples.The best model is chosen to forecast moderate and strong earthquakes of the juncture of Shanxi,Hebei and Inner Mongolia.Trend of strong earthquakes of the area is forecasted by using the models. |
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| Keywords: | Grey theory Medium term prediction Trend prediction Mathematical model |
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