| 华东台风降水预报的一种集成 |
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| 引用本文： | 贡九鼎,钮学新,李慧武.华东台风降水预报的一种集成[J].大气科学,1995,19(1):101-110. |
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| 作者姓名： | 贡九鼎 钮学新 李慧武 |
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| 作者单位： | 浙江省气象局,杭州 310002 |
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| 基金项目： | 中国气象局台风基金资助课题 |
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| 摘 要： | 如何改进预报集成是当前业务预报上急需解决的问题。本文给台风降水定义了重解。根据重解对众多预报结果作自动筛选，最终由人机对话对少数近邻的预报结果作出集成。该集成能远离平均态， 适用于大的台风降水之预报。
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| 关 键 词： | 集成 台风 重解 近邻 |
Forecast Epitomized of Typhoon's Precipitation in East China |
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| Gong Jiuding,Niu Xuexing and Li Huiwu.Forecast Epitomized of Typhoon''s Precipitation in East China[J].Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences,1995,19(1):101-110. |
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| Authors: | Gong Jiuding Niu Xuexing and Li Huiwu |
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| Abstract: | It is an urgent need to improve forecast:pitomized in the present operational forecast.The paper defines a double solution for typhoon's precipitation. According to double solution, an automatic screening method is used to process the predicted results.Through a man-machine interactive interface,we make a forecast epitomized from a few outcomes which are far from the mean but apt to heavy typhoon's precipitation forecast. |
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| Keywords: | consensus typhoon coincidence resolution similar |
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