| 一个诊断厄尔尼诺的三组判别模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 施能,曹鸿兴.一个诊断厄尔尼诺的三组判别模型[J].气象,1992,18(12):9-12. |
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| 作者姓名： | 施能 曹鸿兴 |
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| 作者单位： | 南京气象学院，中国气象科学研究院 210044 |
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| 摘 要： | 根据1951—1990年的北半球五个遥相关型的逐月强度指数以及南方涛动指数,建立了一个用于厄尔尼诺统计诊断的判别模型。用概率三角形图形象地表示了三组判别效果。根据这个模型预测1991年发生了厄尔尼诺事件。
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| 关 键 词： | 厄尔尼诺 判别模型 诊断 |
A Three-Group Discriminant Model for Diagnosing El-Nino Event |
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| Shi Neng Cao Hongxing.A Three-Group Discriminant Model for Diagnosing El-Nino Event[J].Meteorological Monthly,1992,18(12):9-12. |
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| Authors: | Shi Neng Cao Hongxing |
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| Institution: | Shi Neng Cao Hongxing(Nanjing Meteorological Institute) (Chinese Academy of Meteorological Science) |
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| Abstract: | Based on the monthly data of five teleconnection pattern indices in Northern Hemisphere and SOI during the years of 1951 -1990,the discriminant model for diagnosing El Nino event is presented. The results of the discriminant model are figuratively indicated with a probabi lity trigonometry. By means of the model a new El Nino event has been predicted for 1991. |
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| Keywords: | El Nino discriminant model diagnosis |
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