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The drying up of Britain? A national estimate of changes in seasonal river flows from 11 Regional Climate Model simulations |
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| Authors: | Christel Prudhomme Andy Young Glenn Watts Tracey Haxton Sue Crooks Jennifer Williamson Helen Davies Simon Dadson Stuart Allen |
| Institution: | Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, , Oxfordshire, OX10 8BB United Kingdom |
| Abstract: | As climate change may modify the hydrological cycle significantly, understanding the impact on river flow is important because it affects long‐term water resources planning. Here, we describe a high‐resolution British assessment of changes in river flows in the 2050s under 11 different realisations of HadRM3. In winter, river flows may either increase or decrease, with a wide range of possible decreases in summer flow. These results should encourage adaptation that copes with a broad range of future hydrological conditions. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. |
| Keywords: | hydrological impact assessment river flows climate change adaptation change factor method 2050s |