| 基于物元分析的登陆台风次数预报 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 冯利华.基于物元分析的登陆台风次数预报[J].海洋科学,2002,26(11):64-67. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 冯利华 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 浙江师范大学地理系,金华,321004 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 利用前期的预后因子进行计算，使物元分析具有了预报功能，通过反复调整各因子的等级分界值（经典域和节域）， 可以使登陆台风次数计算等级和实际等级的历史拟合率达到最大，其结果是比较好的，这对沿海地区的防台减灾具有重要的现实意义。
|
| 关 键 词： | 物元分析 登陆台风次数 预报 经典域 节域 关联函数 |
FORECAST OF NUMBER OF LANDING TYPHOON BASED ON MATTER ELEMENT ANALYSIS |
| |
| FENG Li-hua.FORECAST OF NUMBER OF LANDING TYPHOON BASED ON MATTER ELEMENT ANALYSIS[J].Marine Sciences,2002,26(11):64-67. |
| |
| Authors: | FENG Li-hua |
| |
| Abstract: | Calculation by means of previous forecast factors makes matter element analysis possess forecast function.Readjusting repeatedly the grade limit value (classical domain and joint domain)of every factor can maximize historical conform ratio of calculated and actual grade of number of landing typhoon,whose result is relatively ideal.This is of actual significance for the disaster reduction along the coast area. |
| |
| Keywords: | Number of landing typhoon Matter element analysis Classical domain Joint domain Related function |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
| 点击此处可从《海洋科学》浏览原始摘要信息 |
| 点击此处可从《海洋科学》下载免费的PDF全文 |
