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Study on growing correlation length prior to the earthquakes occurred in Gansu Province and its nearby area
作者姓名:荣代潞  李亚荣  刘旭宙
作者单位:Lanzhou Base of Center for Analysis and Prediction,China Earthquake Administration,Lanzhou 730000,China,Lanzhou Base of Center for Analysis and Prediction,China Earthquake Administration,Lanzhou 730000,China,Lanzhou Base of Center for Analysis and Prediction,China Earthquake Administration,Lanzhou 730000,China
基金项目:JointSeismologicalScienceFoundationofChina(95-07-436)
摘    要:IntroductionAtpresent,predictionespeciallyshort-termpredictionofmoderateandgreatearthquakesismadeonthebasisofprecursoranalysispriortoearthquakes.Amongtheprecursors,seismicactivityisconsideredastheonewithmorephysicalsenseanditismoredependable.Howtofindquantitativeindexesforearthquakepredictionintheseismicactivitiesbeforegreatearthquakesisoneoftheimportantproblemsinstudy.In1990,FrohlichandDavis(1990)appliedthesingle-linkclusteranalysis(SLC)tothestudyonseismiccatalogs.SLChasawide-rangeapplica…

收稿时间:7 April 2003
修稿时间:1 November 2003

Study on growing correlation length prior to the earthquakes occurred in Gansu Province and its nearby area
Rong Dai-lu , Li Ya-rong and Liu Xu-zhou.Study on growing correlation length prior to the earthquakes occurred in Gansu Province and its nearby area[J].Acta Seismologica Sinica(English Edition),2004,17(5):564-570.
Authors:Rong Dai-lu  Li Ya-rong and Liu Xu-zhou
Institution:Lanzhou Base of Center for analysis and Prediction,China Earthquake Administration,Lanzhou,730000,China
Abstract:The growing correlation length prior to the moderate-great earthquakes occurred in Gansu Province and its nearby area since 1986 has been studied using the method of single-link cluster analysis (SLC). According to different conditions in the source area, the circular spatial window centered in the epicenter and the parallelgrammic spatial window along the fault belt have been selected. The results show that the phenomena of growing correlation length have been observed before the earthquakes studied in the paper.
Keywords:moderate-great earthquake  correlation length  single-link cluster analysis  Gansu
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