| 东北第五地震活跃期结束时间及最大地震强度预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 孙文福,张颖,张国生.东北第五地震活跃期结束时间及最大地震强度预测[J].东北地震研究,2007,23(1):16-26. |
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| 作者姓名： | 孙文福 张颖 张国生 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 辽宁省地震局,辽宁,沈阳110034
2. 通化地震台,吉林,通化134000 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文在以往对东北地震大形势研究的背景上,基于1900年以来东北地区地震目录资料,利用多种分析方法,对该区地震活动规律及其发展趋势作了详细研究。结果认为,东北第五地震活跃期约到2008年结束,本活跃期最大地震强度为6级左右。
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| 关 键 词： | 地震活动趋势 自然周期 结束时间 地震强度 活跃期 |
| 文章编号： | 1004-2865（2007）01-16-11 |
| 收稿时间： | 2006-10 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006年10月1日 |
ESTIMATE ON ENDING TIME OF 5TH SEISMIC ACTIVE PERIOD OF NORTHEAST CHINA AND ITS MAXIMAL EARTHQUAKE INTENSITY |
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| SUN Wen-fu,ZHANG Ying,ZHANG Guo-sheng.ESTIMATE ON ENDING TIME OF 5TH SEISMIC ACTIVE PERIOD OF NORTHEAST CHINA AND ITS MAXIMAL EARTHQUAKE INTENSITY[J].Seismological Research of Northeast China,2007,23(1):16-26. |
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| Authors: | SUN Wen-fu ZHANG Ying ZHANG Guo-sheng |
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| Institution: | 1.Earthquake Administration of Liaoning Province;Liaoning Shenyang 110031;China;2.Tonghua Seismic Station;Jiling Tonghua 134000;China |
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| Abstract: | On the basis of analysis about great situation of NE China earthquake previously,according to the earthquake catalogue in the area since 1900,the seismicity law and developing trend have been studied in detdil by the various methods.The result suggests that 5th seismic active period of NE China will be over in about 2008,and that the maximal earthquake intensity is about magnitude 6 in this active period. |
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| Keywords: | seismicity trend nature period ending time earthquake intensity seismic active period |
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