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黑龙江省冷害与全球变暖对水稻产量的影响(英文)
引用本文:刘晓菲,张朝,帅嘉冰,王品,史文娇,陶福禄,陈一.黑龙江省冷害与全球变暖对水稻产量的影响(英文)[J].地理学报(英文版),2013,23(1):85-97.
作者姓名:刘晓菲  张朝  帅嘉冰  王品  史文娇  陶福禄  陈一
作者单位:Academy of Disaster Reduction and Emergency Management/State Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Proc-ess and Resource Ecology, Beijing Normal University;Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS
基金项目:Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities;The National Basic Research Program of China,No.2012CB955404;International Cooperation Project of the Ministry of Science and Technology of China,No.2012DFG20710;State Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology, Beijing Normal University, No.2010-ZY-10; No.2011-KF-06
摘    要:This study is focused on indexes for the rice chilling injury in Heilongjiang Province during 1960-2009. Firstly, we compared a new derived climate data weighted by rice planting density with the traditional method, and found that the new one is more reasonable to assess the impact of climate change on crop yields. Considering the frequency and intensity of rice chilling in the province, secondly, chilling indexes defined by meteorological, national and international levels were assessed. The result showed that the meteorological standards were suitable for the delayed-type injury, while the international one, so-called sum of Grow-ing Degree Day below threshold (GDDn-), characterized best the sterile-type chilling injury for rice. The explanation ability of the rice yield time series model including both injury types as two independent variables reached approximately 92% (p < 0.05). Finally, we concluded that the contribution rates of human and weather factors to rice yields are about 87.2% and 12.8% respectively, and as light increasing trend for sterile-type chilling injury was found during heading to flowing period in recent years, indicating a high chilling risk for rice planting in Heilongjiang Province in the future global warming.

关 键 词:全球气候变暖  水稻产量  低温冷害  黑龙江省  时间序列模型  种植密度  气候数据  作物产量
收稿时间:2012-09-27

Impact of chilling injury and global warming on rice yield in Heilongjiang Province
LIU Xiaofei , ZHANG Zhao , SHUAI Jiabing , WANG Pin , SHI Wenjiao , TAO Fulu , CHEN Yi.Impact of chilling injury and global warming on rice yield in Heilongjiang Province[J].Journal of Geographical Sciences,2013,23(1):85-97.
Authors:LIU Xiaofei  ZHANG Zhao  SHUAI Jiabing  WANG Pin  SHI Wenjiao  TAO Fulu  CHEN Yi
Institution:1. Academy of Disaster Reduction and Emergency Management/State Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Process and Resource Ecology, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China; 2. Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS, Beijing 100101, China
Abstract:This study is focused on indexes for the rice chilling injury in Heilongjiang Province during 1960-2009. Firstly, we compared a new derived climate data weighted by rice planting density with the traditional method, and found that the new one is more reasonable to assess the impact of climate change on crop yields. Considering the frequency and intensity of rice chilling in the province, secondly, chilling indexes defined by meteorological, national and international levels were assessed. The result showed that the meteorological standards were suitable for the delayed-type injury, while the international one, so-called sum of Growing Degree Day below threshold (GDDn-), characterized best the sterile-type chilling injury for rice. The explanation ability of the rice yield time series model including both injury types as two independent variables reached approximately 92% (p < 0.05). Finally, we concluded that the contribution rates of human and weather factors to rice yields are about 87.2% and 12.8% respectively, and as light increasing trend for sterile-type chilling injury was found during heading to flowing period in recent years, indicating a high chilling risk for rice planting in Heilongjiang Province in the future global warming.
Keywords:rice production  chilling injury  Heilongjiang Province
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