The Most Geomagnetically Disturbed 24 Hours |
| |
| Authors: | VM Silbergleit |
| |
| Institution: | (1) Departamento de Fisica, Facultad de Ingeniería, Universidad de Buenos Aires and CONICET, Buenos Aires, Argentina |
| |
| Abstract: | Geomagnetically disturbed periods, characterized by the maximum average 24-hour global disturbances are considered. Gumbel's first asymptotic distribution of extreme values is used to predict the occurrence of major magnetic storm periods. A geomagnetic storm similar to the one recorded on March 13 - 14, 1998, would be expected to occur within the next 13 solar cycles. The present analysis corroborates the substantial increase of the level of magnetic disturbances from solar cycle to solar cycle. |
| |
| Keywords: | Geomagnetic storm prediction Intense storm repetition Maximum AA* index values |
| 本文献已被 SpringerLink 等数据库收录！ |
|
