| 中国金融产业结构的时空演绎分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 刘桂荣,鲍曙明,佘金凤,张红历.中国金融产业结构的时空演绎分析[J].地理研究,2016,35(11):2153-2166. |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘桂荣 鲍曙明 佘金凤 张红历 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 华东理工大学商学院,上海 2002372. 密西根大学中国信息研究中心,密西根 481043. 西南财经大学统计学院,成都 611130 |
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| 基金项目： | 上海市教委“国外访学进修计划”项目（沪教委人（2012）5号）;留学基金委“青年骨干教师出国研修项目”（留金发（2014）3027号） |
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| 摘 要： | 基于空间统计分析法和GIS技术,使用经济普查的银行、证券和保险机构数据,对大陆31个省份金融产业结构的时空演变进行分析。结果表明：从时间来看,中国金融产业的演变具有明显的阶段性、跳跃性、非同步性和非平稳性的特征。从空间来看,各省金融发展不平衡。服务于低端金融需求的银行机构在空间上的分布渐趋均衡,而与投资和保险紧密相关的高端金融机构在空间分布上差异则不断扩大。随着金融安全与投资、融资需求的增加,未来中国金融系统中保险和投融资的金融机构比例将会不断扩大,中国区域金融系统在空间上将呈现部分行业空间差异不断扩大及另一部分行业空间分布差异不断缩小的两种状况同时并存的趋势。
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| 关 键 词： | 金融产业结构 时空演绎分析 空间集聚 空间自相关 |
| 收稿时间： | 2016-04-26 |
| 修稿时间： | 2016-08-27 |
The spatio-temporal analysis of financial institution structure in China |
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| Guirong LIU,Shuming BAO,Jinfeng SHE,Hongli ZHANG.The spatio-temporal analysis of financial institution structure in China[J].Geographical Research,2016,35(11):2153-2166. |
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| Authors: | Guirong LIU Shuming BAO Jinfeng SHE Hongli ZHANG |
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| Institution: | 1. Business School, East China University of Science and Technology, Shanghai 200237, China2. China Data Center, University of Michigan, MI 48104, USA3. School of Statistics, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, Chengdu 611130, China |
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| Abstract: | The financial institution structure in China has undergone tremendous changes since the 1980s; the financial service industry has evolved from retail banking to a more complex system involving commercial lending, insurance, securities and other services. Based on the spatial statistical analysis and GIS, the paper aims to analyze spatio-temporal changes in domestic financial institution structure, using the 2004 economic census data from banks, securities and insurance institutions. The studies have shown that domestic financial institutions have experienced phase-wise, jumping, asynchronous and nonstationary development over the time while spatially, these institutions have undergone an unbalanced development across provinces, municipalities and autonomous regions, resulting in significant differences between financial sectors in terms of spatial agglomeration. While financial institutions providing low-end financial services, such as retail banking, are evenly distributed with no significant agglomeration, financial institutions providing high-end services, such as investment and insurance, have experienced significant spatial agglomeration. Meanwhile, the discrepancy in spatial distribution is ever-increasing. Along with the financial security, incremental demanding in investment and financing, the proportion of domestic insurance banking, investment and financing banking will be continuously rising in the near future. It is expected that China's financial institution structure will be more diversified as the economic development and marketing reforms continue, and financial investment and securities services grow. It is also expected that the regional financial structure will experience spatial convergence in certain sectors while diverging in others. These two trends in regional financial institution structure domestically will coexist. |
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| Keywords: | financial institution structure spatial-temporal analysis spatial agglomeration spatial autocorrelation |
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