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深圳轨道交通对城市空间结构的影响——基于地价梯度和开发强度梯度的分析
引用本文:乐晓辉,陈君娴,杨家文.深圳轨道交通对城市空间结构的影响——基于地价梯度和开发强度梯度的分析[J].地理研究,2016,35(11):2091-2104.
作者姓名:乐晓辉  陈君娴  杨家文
作者单位:北京大学深圳研究生院城市规划与设计学院,深圳 518055
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(41371168);深圳市海外高层次人才创新创业专项资金(KQCX20130628093909157)
摘    要:大运量的城市轨道交通系统在一定程度上决定了城市的布局结构和土地利用格局。从时空两个维度出发,基于地价和开发强度两个要素,探讨轨道交通影响下的深圳市空间结构动态演变过程。通过描述性分析和空间计量模型实证发现,轨道交通站点周边地价和开发强度在受到距市中心或组团中心距离影响而空间衰减的同时,呈现出明显的站点导向性。轨道交通对城市空间结构的影响在时间上是超前的,规划方案的公示和轨道系统的建成运营均塑造了土地价格梯度和容积率梯度。并且,由于城市建设和历史原因,深圳原特区内外在轨道交通的影响下,地价和开发强度呈现了差异化的增长趋势。研究结果对理解轨道交通对城市空间结构影响及政府财政效应评估等具有积极意义。

关 键 词:轨道交通  空间梯度  城市空间结构  地块交易  深圳市  
收稿时间:2016-04-09
修稿时间:2016-08-10

Impact of rail transit on urban spatial structure in Shenzhen: Analysis based on land parcel price and FAR gradients
Xiaohui LE,Junxian CHEN,Jiawen YANG.Impact of rail transit on urban spatial structure in Shenzhen: Analysis based on land parcel price and FAR gradients[J].Geographical Research,2016,35(11):2091-2104.
Authors:Xiaohui LE  Junxian CHEN  Jiawen YANG
Institution:School of Urban Planning and Design, Peking University Shenzhen Graduate School, Shenzhen 518055, Guangdong, China
Abstract:High capacity transit system offers a solution to traffic problems and shapes the city structure at the same time. A great number of articles have examined the close relationship between rail transit and urban structure. Our study attempts to enrich the existing literature by providing empirical evidences of how the metro system in Shenzhen has helped to change urban structure. We use data of land transaction from 2000 to 2014, which includes information on price, parcel location, land use type and transaction mode. We calculate distances from each parcel to its nearest metro station, nearest hub station, and the city center. We also divide all land parcels into three groups according to its temporal relationship with the planning and operation of its closest metro station. When analyzing the data, we firstly plot land price and FAR in relation to the three distance variables to see how they vary spatially. We then use spatial regression models to test whether land price and FAR are significantly affected by the distance to stations. We find that price and FAR of parcels transacted before metro plan announcement shows weak or even no station-orientation. However, price and FAR gradients appear after metro plan announcement and metro operation, which result from relatively fast price increase at station proximity. It is shown that land price and FAR's rising within 1 km are greater than the ones within 2 km. In addition, we find that metro investment has a greater impact on land price in relatively underdeveloped outer part of Shenzhen than that in the inner part by dividing all land parcels into two groups. Metro stations in the outer part then become a series of new economic growth points. Shenzhen is a city of multiple centers. The station-oriented development could further move the city into a fine tuned multi-center structure.
Keywords:rail transit  gradient  spatial structure  land transaction  Shenzhen  
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