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Biodiversity Conservation in the REDD |
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| Authors: | Gary D Paoli Philip L Wells Erik Meijaard Matthew J Struebig Andrew J Marshall Krystof Obidzinski Aseng Tan Andjar Rafiastanto Betsy Yaap JW Ferry Slik Alexandra Morel Balu Perumal Niels Wielaard Simon Husson Laura D'Arcy |
| Institution: | 1. Institute for World Forestry and Climate Campus, University of Hamburg, Leuschnerstra?e 91, D-21031, Hamburg, Germany 2. Chair of Forest Yield Science, Technical University of Munich, Hans-Carl-von-Carlowitz-Platz 2, D-85354, Freising, Germany 4. Institute of Forest Based Sector Economics, Johann Heinrich von Thünen Institute Federal Research Institute for Rural Areas, Forestry and Fisheries, Leuschnerstra?e 91, D-21031, Hamburg, Germany 3. Institute of Soil Science and Site Ecology, Faculty FGH, Dresden University of Technology, Pienner Stra?e 19, D-01735, Tharandt, Germany |
| Abstract: | BackgroundForests occur across diverse biomes, each of which shows a specific composition of plant communities associated with the particular climate regimes. Predicted future climate change will have impacts on the vulnerability and productivity of forests; in some regions higher temperatures will extend the growing season and thus improve forest productivity, while changed annual precipitation patterns may show disadvantageous effects in areas, where water availability is restricted. While adaptation of forests to predicted future climate scenarios has been intensively studied, less attention was paid to mitigation strategies such as the introduction of tree species well adapted to changing environmental conditions.ResultsWe simulated the development of managed forest ecosystems in Germany for the time period between 2000 and 2100 under different forest management regimes and climate change scenarios. The management regimes reflect different rotation periods, harvesting intensities and species selection for reforestations. The climate change scenarios were taken from the IPCC's Special Report on Emission Scenarios (SRES). We used the scenarios A1B (rapid and successful economic development) and B1 (high level of environmental and social consciousness combined with a globally coherent approach to a more sustainable development). Our results indicate that the effects of different climate change scenarios on the future productivity and species composition of German forests are minor compared to the effects of forest management.ConclusionsThe inherent natural adaptive capacity of forest ecosystems to changing environmental conditions is limited by the long life time of trees. Planting of adapted species and forest management will reduce the impact of predicted future climate change on forests. |
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