| 农村劳动力回流的影响因素分析——以广东省云浮市为例 |
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| 引用本文： | 殷江滨,李郇.农村劳动力回流的影响因素分析——以广东省云浮市为例[J].热带地理,2012,32(2):128-133,140. |
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| 作者姓名： | 殷江滨 李郇 |
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| 作者单位： | 1.中山大学地理科学与规划学院,广州510275;;2.中山大学地理科学与规划学院,广州,510275;;3.中山大学港澳珠三角研究中心,广州510275; |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金，教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 改革开放以来,中国大规模的人口流动对资源的优化配置和经济快速发展产生了深远的影响.然而,中国的农村劳动力流动正逐渐从单向转变为城乡双向流动的格局,这一变化无疑将深刻影响我国农村地区的发展前景.文中采用对广东省云浮市农户的调查数据,通过构建Logistic模型,从农村外出劳动力个体行为决策的视角探讨农村劳动力回流的影响因素.实证研究表明:人力资本较低,年龄偏大,家庭儿童数量较多、老人数量较少和已婚的外出劳动力回流的可能性较大;而外出务工时间对回流概率的影响呈倒U型分布;家乡的非农就业机会与村庄的区位因素也显
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| 关 键 词： | 劳动力回流 影响因素 Logistic模型 云浮市 |
Influencing Factors of Return Choice for Rural Migrant Workers:A Case Study of Yunfu City, Guangdong Province |
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| YIN Jiangbin
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LI Xun.Influencing Factors of Return Choice for Rural Migrant Workers:A Case Study of Yunfu City, Guangdong Province[J].Tropical Geography,2012,32(2):128-133,140. |
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| Authors: | YIN Jiangbin LI Xun |
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| Institution: | a,b (a.School of Geography and Planning;b.Center for Studies of Hong Kong,Macao and Pearl River Delta,Sun Yat-sen University,Guangzhou 510275,China) |
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| Abstract: | Mass migration movements from countryside to city have exerted an enormous influence on allocation of resources and economic development in China since Reform and Opening-Up.At present,the pattern of the movements has changed from unidirectional flow between cities and countryside to bidirectional,that will profoundly produce influence to the prospect of economic development in rural China.Establishing a Logistic model for employment behavior of rural labor with the data from peasant-householdsurvey in Yunfu,Guangdong,the paper explores the determinants of the return migration from cities.The result of the empirical study shows that those people who are of older ages,have lower human resource,more children and have been married have bigger possibility of return.And the effect of out-migration time on the probability of return presents a converse-U-shape distribution.Moreover,the chances of finding a job at hometown and the location of the village also exert influence over migration workers’ decision about returning home.Those migration workers whose hometown has more employment opportunity and whose village is closer to county town have bigger possibility of return.The variables of gender and per capita arable land have no significant effect on returning home. |
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| Keywords: | return migration influencing factors logistic model Yunfu City |
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