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IPCC-AR4以来华南沿海海平面变化研究若干进展
引用本文:沈东芳,陈特固,吴晓星,程泽梅,吴楚宗.IPCC-AR4以来华南沿海海平面变化研究若干进展[J].热带地理,2012,32(3):223-227,251.
作者姓名:沈东芳  陈特固  吴晓星  程泽梅  吴楚宗
作者单位:1. 国家海洋局南海分局,广州,510300
2. 中国科学院南海海洋研究所,广州,510301
基金项目:国家海洋局“908”专项,国家自然科学基金
摘    要:综述自IPCC-AR4(联合国政府间气候变化委员会第四次评估报告)以来,华南沿海海平面变化研究的新进展,结果显示:1)7100―3500calaBP时期华南沿海的海平面较今高1.5~2.5m;2)1970―2010年的海平面上升率为2.5mm/a,高于同时期全球平均上升率2.1mm/a,原因与西太平洋暖池直接影响有关;3)采用新的全球冰川均衡调整(GIA)模型分析得出,华南沿海各验潮站的GIA效应值为-0.18~-0.30mm/a;4)实施"海平面观测与影响评价标准"(HY/T134-2010)行业推荐标准,提高了影响评估的科学性。

关 键 词:海平面变化  微环礁  验潮站  华南沿海  评估

Progress in the Research of Sea-Level Changes along the Coast of South China Since IPCC-AR4
SHEN Dongfang , CHEN Tegu , WU Xiaoxing , CHENG Zemei , WU Chuzong.Progress in the Research of Sea-Level Changes along the Coast of South China Since IPCC-AR4[J].Tropical Geography,2012,32(3):223-227,251.
Authors:SHEN Dongfang  CHEN Tegu  WU Xiaoxing  CHENG Zemei  WU Chuzong
Institution:1(1.South China Sea Branch of the State Oceanic Administeation of China,Guangzhou 510300,China;2.South China Sea Institute of Oceanology,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Guangzhou 510301,China)
Abstract:Progress in the study of sea level changes along the coastal area of South China since IPCC-AR4 is reviewed.It is found that:1)During the period of 7100-3500cal a BP,the sea level along the area was 1.5~2.5m higher than today’s.2)From 1970 to 2010,the rise-rate of sea level was 2.5 mm/a,higher than that of the global average(2.1 mm/a)at the same period,that was related to the direct effect of the west Pacific warm pool.3)Analysis with the new GIA model shows that the GIA value is-0.18 mm/a~-0.30mm/a for the tide-gauge stations in South China.4)The scientific solidity of the evaluation is improved,as Sea Level Observation and Effects Evaluation Standards(HY/T134-2010)are implemented.
Keywords:sea level change  microatoll  tide station  south coast  evaluation
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