| 连云港区台风增水预报方法探讨 |
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| 引用本文： | 李培顺.连云港区台风增水预报方法探讨[J].海洋预报,1993,10(1):69-76. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李培顺 |
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| 作者单位： | 青岛海洋环境预报台 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文采用增水峰、谷时与高、低潮时的对应关系预报未来24小时之内的增水峰、谷时。采用增水峰增、减趋势外延和回归计算相结合的方法预报其峰值。然后,利用模拟的增水曲线,对港区内的台风增水及潮位进行预报,效果很好。
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| 关 键 词： | 潮汐 台风 增水 预报 连云港区 |
A STUDY OF TROPICAL CYCLONE-INDUCED SURGE FORECAST IN LIANYUNGANG HARBOR |
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| Li Peishun.A STUDY OF TROPICAL CYCLONE-INDUCED SURGE FORECAST IN LIANYUNGANG HARBOR[J].Marine Forecasts,1993,10(1):69-76. |
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| Authors: | Li Peishun |
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| Abstract: | In this paper, the interrelationship between the time of the crests (troughs) of variations of sea level and the time of the high (low) water are used to forecast the future time of the crests(troughs ) of variations of sea level due to tropical cyclone.
Both regression method and the extrapolation of tendency of variations of the crests of sea level are used to forecast future crests.
Then, the simulant curves of the rise of sea level are used to forecast the rise of sea level and tide level in lianyungang harbour induced by the tropical cyclone.
The effect of prediction is good. |
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| Keywords: | The time of crest (trough)of variations of sea level Extrapolation Regression Simulation Tide level |
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