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单一震源下生命线系统失效概率分析的新方法(一)--系统可靠路径与失效路径的识别
引用本文:何军,李杰.单一震源下生命线系统失效概率分析的新方法(一)--系统可靠路径与失效路径的识别[J].地震工程与工程振动,2003,23(3):53-59.
作者姓名:何军  李杰
作者单位:1. 上海交通大学建筑工程学院,上海,200240
2. 同济大学建筑工程系,上海,200092
基金项目:国家自然科学基金,59825105,
摘    要:本文第一部分提出一类识别生命线系统可靠路径与失效路径的新方法,该方法从系统发生概率最大的可靠路径出发,采用递推分解的思路,识别出系统的互斥可靠路径和互斥失效路径,并给出系统失效概率的表达式和失效概率上下界表达式。实例分析表明,该识别方法的计算复杂性较小并具有较高的运算效率。

关 键 词:生命线系统  失效概率分析  系统可靠路径  失效路径  系统结构函数
文章编号:1000-1301(2003)03-0053-07

A new method for evaluating failure probabilities of lifeline systems due to a single random variable (Ⅰ)--Identifying of reliable-paths and failed-paths
HE Jun,LI Jie.A new method for evaluating failure probabilities of lifeline systems due to a single random variable (Ⅰ)--Identifying of reliable-paths and failed-paths[J].Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Vibration,2003,23(3):53-59.
Authors:HE Jun  LI Jie
Abstract:This paper presents a new method to identify key reliable-paths and failed - paths of a lifeline system due to a single random variable. Through the most probability reliability-path, the method recursively decomposes the system and identifies the key disjoint reliable-paths and the key disjoint failure-paths, and gives failure probability bound expression with upper probability and lower probability. It appears that the method is efficient with less computational complexity, as shown in the example.
Keywords:Lifeline system  System structure function  Disjoint reliable-path  Disjoint failed-path
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