| 基于ShakeMap_CNST的2017年精河6.6级地震灾害快速评估 |
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| 引用本文： | 刘军,谭明,宋立军,郝婧,毕雪梅,王新刚,常想德.基于ShakeMap_CNST的2017年精河6.6级地震灾害快速评估[J].中国地震,2019,35(2):381-388. |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘军 谭明 宋立军 郝婧 毕雪梅 王新刚 常想德 |
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| 作者单位： | 贵州省地震局, 贵阳 520001;新疆维吾尔自治区地震局, 乌鲁木齐 830011,新疆维吾尔自治区地震局, 乌鲁木齐 830011,新疆维吾尔自治区地震局, 乌鲁木齐 830011,贵州省地震局, 贵阳 520001,江苏省地震局, 南京 210000,新疆维吾尔自治区地震局, 乌鲁木齐 830011,新疆维吾尔自治区地震局, 乌鲁木齐 830011 |
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| 基金项目： | “十三·五”国家科技重点研发计划项目课题（2017YFC1500905）、贵州省地震科技基金项目（GZDZ201901）、中国地震局星火计划课题（XH15044Y）共同资助 |
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| 摘 要： | 基于考虑区域地震动衰减关系、场地效应及震中破裂等多因素的烈度快速评估模型，结合震害预测方法，研发了一套震害预测系统，并以2017年8月9日精河MS6.6地震的震害预测为例，将对其的预测结果与当前主流系统进行对比。结果表明，采用ShakeMap_CNST系统能对地震的影响范围和烈度进行更为准确的估计，在人员伤亡、受灾人口估计、紧急安置人数及经济损失评估等方面，相对于其他系统，本系统的结果与现场调查的结果更为接近。
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| 关 键 词： | ShakeMap_CNST 烈度图 地震动 震害预测 2017年精河6.6级地震 |
| 收稿时间： | 2018/11/20 0:00:00 |
| 修稿时间： | 2019/2/1 0:00:00 |
Rapid Assessment of the 2017 Jinghe MS6.6 Earthquake Disaster in Xinjiang,Based on ShakeMap_CNST |
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| Liu Jun,Tan Ming,Song Lijun,Hao Jing,Bi Xuemei,Wang Xingang and Chang Xiangde.Rapid Assessment of the 2017 Jinghe MS6.6 Earthquake Disaster in Xinjiang,Based on ShakeMap_CNST[J].Earthquake Research in China,2019,35(2):381-388. |
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| Authors: | Liu Jun Tan Ming Song Lijun Hao Jing Bi Xuemei Wang Xingang and Chang Xiangde |
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| Institution: | Guizhou Earthquake Agency, Guiyang 550000, China;Earthquake Agency of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Urumqi 830011, China,Earthquake Agency of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Urumqi 830011, China,Earthquake Agency of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Urumqi 830011, China,Guizhou Earthquake Agency, Guiyang 550000, China,Jiangsu Earthquake Agency, Nanjing 550000, China,Earthquake Agency of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Urumqi 830011, China and Earthquake Agency of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Urumqi 830011, China |
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| Abstract: | Based on the regional earthquake ground motion attenuation relation,the site effect and the earthquake intensity and many factors,we eestablished a prediction model of earthquake damage,and developed a set of earthquake damage prediction system. Taking the earthquake damage prediction of the Jinghe MS6.6 earthquake,Xinjiang on August 9,2017 as an example,the prediction results are compared with the current mainstream system. The results show that the ShakeMap_CNST system can make more accurate estimation in terms of the influence scope and intensity. Compared with other systems,the system results are very close to the field survey results in casualties,affected population estimates,number of emergency placement and evaluation of economic losses. |
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| Keywords: | ShakeMap_CNST Intensity map Ground motion Earthquake damage prediction Jinghe MS6 6 earthquake in 2017 |
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