Inferred ground motions on Guadeloupe during the 2004 Les Saintes earthquake |
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| Authors: | John Douglas |
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| Institution: | (1) ARN/RIS, BRGM, 3 avenue C. Guillemin, BP 36009, Orléans Cedex 2, 45060, France |
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| Abstract: | Accurate estimates of the ground motions that occurred during damaging earthquakes are a vital part of many aspects of earthquake
engineering, such as the study of the size and cause of the uncertainties within earthquake risk assessments. This article
compares a number of methods to estimate the ground shaking that occurred on Guadeloupe (French Antilles) during the 21st
November 2004 (M
w
6.3) Les Saintes earthquake, with the aim of providing more accurate shaking estimates for the investigation of the sources
of uncertainties within loss evaluations, based on damage data from this event. The various techniques make differing use
of the available ground-motion recordings of this earthquake and by consequence the estimates obtained by the different approaches
are associated with differing uncertainties. Ground motions on the French Antilles are affected by strong local site effects,
which have been extensively investigated in previous studies. In this article, use is made of these studies in order to improve
the shaking estimates. It is shown that the simple methods neglecting the spatial correlation of earthquake shaking lead to
uncertainties similar to those predicted by empirical ground-motion models and that these are uniform across the whole of
Guadeloupe. In contrast, methods (such as the ShakeMap approach) that take account of the spatial correlation in motions demonstrate
that shaking within roughly 10 km of a recording station (covering a significant portion of the investigated area) can be
defined with reasonable accuracy but that motions at more distant points are not well constrained. |
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| Keywords: | Ground-motion estimation Guadeloupe Les Saintes ShakeMap Site effects Spatial correlation Strong ground motion Uncertainties |
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