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| 地震调制比及其在华北地震中短期预报中的应用 | |
| 引用本文： | 王炜,宋先月,谢端,王.地震调制比及其在华北地震中短期预报中的应用[J].地震研究,2001,24(3):202-207. |
| 作者姓名： | 王炜 宋先月 谢端 王 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 上海市地震局, 2. 中国科学技术大学, 3. 江苏省地震局, |
| 基金项目： | 中国地震局 95— 0 4— 0 9项目 |
| 摘 要： | 对调制比预报地震方法进行了改进，并使用改进的地震调制比rm10对华北地区进行空间扫描，结果表明中强地震前1年左右的中短期阶段，未来震中周围的rm10中期异常区出现明显的收缩或消失，一些震例在临震前数月还再次出现rm10异常区。本方法具有较好的中短期预报效果，中还就rm10进行中短期预报的有关问题进行了讨论。 |
| 关 键 词： | 地震调制比 引潮力 空间扫描 地震中短期预报 触发作用 |
Seismic Modulating Ratio and Its Application to Medium-Short Term Earthquake Prediction in North China |
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| Wang Wei Song Xianyue Xie Duan Wang Zhengzheng Seismological Bureau of Shanghai,Shanghai ,China University of Science and Technology of China,Hefei ,China Seismological Bureau of Jiangsu Provin.Seismic Modulating Ratio and Its Application to Medium-Short Term Earthquake Prediction in North China[J].Journal of Seismological Research,2001,24(3):202-207. | |
| Authors: | Wang Wei Song Xianyue Xie Duan Wang Zhengzheng Seismological Bureau of Shanghai Shanghai China University of Science and Technology of China Hefei China Seismological Bureau of Jiangsu Provin |
| Institution: | Wang Wei 1) Song Xianyue 1) Xie Duan 2) Wang Zhengzheng 3) 1)Seismological Bureau of Shanghai,Shanghai 200062,China 2)University of Science and Technology of China,Hefei 230026,China 3)Seismological Bureau of Jiangsu Provin |
| Abstract: | The earthquake prediction method using seismic modulating ratio is improved and space scan in north China is made by use of improved seismic modulating ration r m10 .The results show that the medium-term anomaly area of r m10 around future epicenter obviously reduced or disappeared in the medium short-term about one year before moderate-strong earthquake;the anomalous areas of r m10 appeared again several months before some earthquakes.Some problems about medium-short term earthquake prediction using r m10 are also discussed in the paper. |
| Keywords: | Seismic modulation ratio tide-generating force space scan medium-short term earthquake prediction |
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