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澜沧-耿马Ms 7.6地震前前兆综合加权信息熵的变化
引用本文:张昭栋,刘章增,董传富.澜沧-耿马Ms 7.6地震前前兆综合加权信息熵的变化[J].地震研究,2002,25(1):1-6.
作者姓名:张昭栋  刘章增  董传富
作者单位:1. 山东省地震局,山东,济南,250014
2. 莘县第一中学,东莘县,252400
基金项目:地震科学联合基金资助课题 (批号 1980 6 0 )
摘    要:利用“专家系统”的思想对澜沧-秋马Ms7.6和Ms7.2地震前每一前兆异常事件进行综合评估,以每一异常的最可能发震时间来计算发震概率,利用各类地震前兆异常群体信息熵研究了系统熵值与地震的关系。分析了1988年11月6日澜沧-耿马Ms7.6和Ms7.2地震前这种信息熵变化的特点。地震前,出现了明显的减熵有序变化。

关 键 词:信息熵  前兆异常  概率  澜沧-秋马地震  综合评估

Variation of Comprehensive Weighted Information Entropy of Seismic Precursors Before the Lanchang- Gengma Ms 7.6 Earthquake
Zhang Zhaodong Liu Zhangzen Dong Chuanfu Seismologicd Burean of Shandong Provence,Jinan ,China The First Middel School of Xin County,Xin County ,China.Variation of Comprehensive Weighted Information Entropy of Seismic Precursors Before the Lanchang- Gengma Ms 7.6 Earthquake[J].Journal of Seismological Research,2002,25(1):1-6.
Authors:Zhang Zhaodong Liu Zhangzen Dong Chuanfu Seismologicd Burean of Shandong Provence  Jinan  China The First Middel School of Xin County  Xin County  China
Institution:Zhang Zhaodong 1) Liu Zhangzen 2) Dong Chuanfu 1) 1)Seismologicd Burean of Shandong Provence,Jinan 250014,China 2)The First Middel School of Xin County,Xin County 252400,China
Abstract:In this paper,each anomalous event before the Lanchang-Gengma earthquake is comprehensively estimated by using"seismic prediction exprert system".Probability of anomaly appearance is calculated by means of time that corresponds to the most likely time of earthquake occurrence for each anomaly.Considering the anomalous reliability,validity,significance and dependence,the authors use different weight to study the relation between comprehensive weighted information entropy of the seismic precursoris and earthquakes and analyse the information entropy variation before the Lanchang-Gengma M S 7.6 and 7.2 earthquakes on Nov.6,1988.It is shown that the variation of ordered decrease entropy appeared before the earthquekes.
Keywords:Information entropy  precursory anomaly  probability  the Lanchang-Gengma earthquake
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