| 基于大地形变监测的大震预测问题思考 |
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| 引用本文： | 王双绪.基于大地形变监测的大震预测问题思考[J].国际地震动态,2011(2):8-13. |
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| 作者姓名： | 王双绪 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国地震局第二监测中心; |
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| 基金项目： | 中国地震局监测预报司震情跟踪项目“南北地震带北段大震危险性强化跟踪研究”和“中国大陆7、8级地震中长期危险性研究”资助 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文以中国西部大地形变监测与地震预测实践为基础, 简要总结回顾了利用大地形变进行强震预测研究的工作思路、方法和一些进展; 进而结合2001年昆仑山口西8.1级、 2008年四川汶川8.0级特大地震前区域地壳运动变形背景和已有的研究结果, 分析和探讨了基于大地形变监测、 并考虑地震构造的差异性来进一步提高大震预测的有效性...
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| 关 键 词： | 中国西部 大地形变监测 大震预测 有效性 启示 |
Some thoughts on the prediction of large earthquakes based on geodetic deformation monitoring |
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| Wang Shuangxu.Some thoughts on the prediction of large earthquakes based on geodetic deformation monitoring[J].Recent Developments in World Seismology,2011(2):8-13. |
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| Authors: | Wang Shuangxu |
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| Institution: | Wang Shuangxu(Second Monitoring and Application Center,CEA,Xi'an 710054,China) |
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| Abstract: | Based on geodetic deformation monitoring and earthquake prediction in western China,we present a review on the approach,plan and progresses in the prediction of strong earthquakes according to geodetic deformation.And then,by combining regional crustal deformation background before the 2001 Kunlun mountain pass MS8.1 and 2008 Sichuan Wenchuan MS8.0 earthquakes with the existing results,we make an analysis and discussion on the issue of improving the effectiveness of predicting large earthquake based on both... |
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| Keywords: | western China geodetic deformation monitoring prediction of large earthquakes effectiveness thoughts |
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