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地震视应力用于震后趋势快速判定的可能性
引用本文:陈学忠,王小平,王林瑛,张天中.地震视应力用于震后趋势快速判定的可能性[J].国际地震动态,2003(7):1-4.
作者姓名:陈学忠  王小平  王林瑛  张天中
作者单位:1. 中国地震局地球物理研究所,北京,100081
2. 天津市地震局,天津,300201
摘    要:对多次强震的地震视应力进行了计算,将各次强震的地震视应力的高低与强震发生后的后续地震的强度进行联系,探索它们之间的关系,进而提出将地震视应力用于强震震后趋势预测的可能性。对多次强震的地震视应力与其后续地震强度的关系的分析结果表明,低视应力的强震的后续地震的强度一般较低,即低视应力的强震发生后,震区发生较强的后续地震的可能性较小。

关 键 词:地震视应力  震后趋势  快速判定  地震强度  后续地震  地震预报
修稿时间:2003年5月27日

Possibility of Earlier Judgement on Seismic Tendency After Strong Earthquakes upon Their Apparent Stresses
Chen Xuezhong,Wang Xiaoping,Wang Linying and Zhang Tianzhong Institute of Geophysics,CSB,Beijing,China Seismological Bureau of Tianjin Municipality,Tianjin,China.Possibility of Earlier Judgement on Seismic Tendency After Strong Earthquakes upon Their Apparent Stresses[J].Recent Developments in World Seismology,2003(7):1-4.
Authors:Chen Xuezhong  Wang Xiaoping  Wang Linying and Zhang Tianzhong Institute of Geophysics  CSB  Beijing    China Seismological Bureau of Tianjin Municipality  Tianjin    China
Institution:Chen Xuezhong,Wang Xiaoping,Wang Linying and Zhang Tianzhong 1) Institute of Geophysics,CSB,Beijing,100081,China 2) Seismological Bureau of Tianjin Municipality,Tianjin,300201,China
Abstract:The authors calculate the apparent stresses of several strong earthquakes, relate the intensity of apparent stresses of the strong earthquakes with the magnitude of the successive earthquakes following the strong earthquakes to seek for the relationship between them, and point out the possibility of applying apparent stresses to seismic tendency prediction after strong earthquakes. The analyses of the relationships between apparent stresses of several strong earthquakes and the magnitude of the successive earthquakes show that magnitude of successive earthquakes after strong earthquakes with low apparent stresses is generally relatively small, that is, after the occurrence of strong earthquakes with low apparent stresses, there is little possibility that successive earthquakes with relatively high magnitude would take place in earthquake areas.
Keywords:apparent stress  seismic tendency after a strong earthquake  earlier judgement  
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