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滇西实验场水汞同步性异常与中强地震的关系
引用本文:杨芬,金明培,赵家本,李宗兴.滇西实验场水汞同步性异常与中强地震的关系[J].国际地震动态,2009(5):14-20.
作者姓名:杨芬  金明培  赵家本  李宗兴
作者单位:1. 中国地震局滇西地震预报实验场,大理,671000
2. 保山市地震局,保山,678000
摘    要:研究了1992年以来滇西地震预报实验场(24°40’~27°20’N,99°~101°30’E)水汞同步性异常与中强地震的关系。研究结果表明:滇西地震预报实验场水汞同步性异常出现后,滇西实验场区发生M≥5.0地震或滇西实验场邻区(24°~28°N,97°~103°E)发生肘≥6.5强震的概率为75%,平均应震间隔时间为2.7个月,对应效果较好;而且滇西实验场区肘≥5.0地震发生前和滇西实验场邻区M≥6.5强震发生前,滇西实验场水汞同步性异常有很好的反映,概率为83%。

关 键 词:水汞  同步性异常  中强地震  滇西地震预报实验场

Relationship Between Synchronous Anomalies of Hg and Medium-strong Earthquakes in Western Yunnan Earthquake Prediction Study Area
Yang Fen,Jin Mingpei,Zhao Jiaben,Li Zongxing.Relationship Between Synchronous Anomalies of Hg and Medium-strong Earthquakes in Western Yunnan Earthquake Prediction Study Area[J].Recent Developments in World Seismology,2009(5):14-20.
Authors:Yang Fen  Jin Mingpei  Zhao Jiaben  Li Zongxing
Institution:Yang Fen, Jin Mingpei, Zhao Jiaben and Li Zongxing( 1 ) West Yunnan Earthquake Prediction Study Area, Dali 671000, China 2) Earthquake Admination of Baoshan City, Baoshan 678000, China)
Abstract:In this paper, the relationship between synchronous anomalies of mercury from four hot springs and medium-strong earthquakes in Western Yunnan Earthquake Prediction Study Area (WYEPSA) and its adjacent region (24°- 28°N, 97°- 103°E)has been studied. The results show that: Usually, there would be an earthquake of M≥5.0 occurred in WYEPSA or an earthquake of M ≥6.5 occurred in its adjacent region, after a synchronous anomaly of mercury from four hot springs, the corresponding rate could be 75%, the average interval is 2.7 months. And the probability of appearance of synchronous anomalies of mercury before the medium or strong earthquakes in this area is 83%.
Keywords:Mercury (Hg)  synchronous anomalies  medium-strong earthquake  West Yunnan Earthquake Prediction Study Area (WYEPSA)
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