| 关于震情窗口问题的实践和展望 |
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| 引用本文： | 王泽皋.关于震情窗口问题的实践和展望[J].地震学报,1986,8(3):254-262. |
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| 作者姓名： | 王泽皋 |
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| 作者单位： | 河北省地震局 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文概述了自1978年5月提出震情窗口以来,经过6年多时间,在一些多震区不断实践和多种尝试所得的最新的全部成果.根据一震有多窗反应,并由此而能粗略地推测出未来大震的时间、空间、强度三要素的事实,今后若能在窗口附近设台以观察、研究其小震的活动与附近大震的关系,并根据各地窗口的区域特点而直接投入当地的监测预报,则可以达到应用的目的.提出了建立震情网或窗口网的设想,这不仅对地震学本身的研究工作有益,而且在以震报震方面具有现实意义.实际上,根据多震区现有的基础,已经具备了这种工作的现实性和可能性.
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ON THE PRACTICE AND PROSPECT FOR THEWINDOWMETHOD |
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| Abstract: | In this paper, new results of testing the method of arthquake situation window have been outlined, which were obtained in some seismic areas in the past six years since the method was proposed in May, 1978. In term of the fact that one earthquake could have many window responses, from which the time, space and magnitude of future earthquakes could be roughly inferred, it can be expected that the method can be directly applied to, earthquake monitoring and prediction work according to the regional eharacterestics of the Window, if seismic stations could be setup near the window to detect the activity of niicroearthquakes and to study the relationship between the activity of mieroearthquakes and strong shocks. Finally, a tentative plan to set up earthquake situation net or window net has been suggested. This is not only useful for the study in seismology, but also has practical significance in the prediction of earth quakes by earthquake monitoring. In fact, it is realistic and posible to make further tests of this method in seismic areas based on their existing conditions. |
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