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A sidelight on long range forecasting
Authors:Victor P Starr
Institution:(1) Department of Meteorology, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge 39, Mass, (U.S.A.)
Abstract:Summary A gradually cumulative error due to the use of the hydrostatic approximation is examined through consideration of a simple mathematical model taken from the classical theory of gravity waves. Two cases are chosen which differ solely in the circumstance that in one the hydrostatic assumption is made while in the other it is not. A large divergence of the results present in the later stages is then to be referred to the neglect of terms contained in the exact equation of motion for the vertical direction in one of the solutions. The inference is drawn that comparable phenomena might arise in the integration of the atmospheric equations over long time periods.
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