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考虑地震构造背景的地震活动性参数光滑方法在地震危险性概率评价中的应用
引用本文:张力方,吕悦军,彭艳菊,马晓玲,崔满丰.考虑地震构造背景的地震活动性参数光滑方法在地震危险性概率评价中的应用[J].中国地震研究,2013,27(1):121-132.
作者姓名:张力方  吕悦军  彭艳菊  马晓玲  崔满丰
作者单位:1)中国地震局地壳应力研究所,北京100085;1)中国地震局地壳应力研究所,北京100085;1)中国地震局地壳应力研究所,北京100085;2)中国地震台网中心,北京100045;2)中国地震台网中心,北京100045
基金项目:This research was funded by the Special Fund for Fundamental Research of Centrallevel Public Interest Institutions,China ( ZDJ2011-13) .
摘    要:In this study, the North China seismic region was selected as the study area, and evaluation of seismic hazard using the spatial smoothing seismicity model was performed. Firstly, the study area is divided into grids, and some parameters (e.g. b-value, M0, Mu, azimuth and M-L relationship) for each seismotectonic model were assigned. Secondly, using elliptical smoothing based on a seismotectonic background model, the statistical earthquake incidence rate in each grid is successively calculated. Lastly, the relevant ground motion attenuation relationship is chosen to assess seismic hazard of general sites. The maps for the distribution of horizontal peak ground acceleration with 10% probability of exceedance in 50 years were obtained by using the seismic hazard analysis method based on grid source. This seismicity model simplifies the methodology of probabilistic seismic hazard analysis, especially appropriate for those places where seismic tectonics is not yet clearly known. This method can provide valuable references for seismic zonation and seismic safety assessment for significant engineering projects.

关 键 词:North  China  seismic  region  Seismotectonic  background  region  Seismic  hazard  estimation  Spatial  smoothing  approach
收稿时间:2012/7/12 0:00:00

The Method of Spatially Smoothed Seismicity Parameters in Consideration of Seismotectonic Background and Its Application to Seismic Hazard Estimation
Zhang Lifang,Lv Yuejun,Peng Yanju,Ma Xiaoling and Cui Manfeng.The Method of Spatially Smoothed Seismicity Parameters in Consideration of Seismotectonic Background and Its Application to Seismic Hazard Estimation[J].Earthquake Research in China,2013,27(1):121-132.
Authors:Zhang Lifang  Lv Yuejun  Peng Yanju  Ma Xiaoling and Cui Manfeng
Institution:1. Institute of Crustal Dynamics, China Earthquake Administration, Beijing 100085, China
2. China Earthquake Networks Center, Beijing 100045, China
Abstract:
Keywords:North China seismic region  Seismotectonic background region  Seismic hazard estimation  Spatial smoothing approach
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