| Annual Consultation on the Likelihood of Earthquakes in Continental China： Its Scientific and Practical Merits |
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| 作者姓名： | Wu Zhongliang |
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| 作者单位： | Wu Zhongliang 1，3)，Liu Jie 2)，Zhu Chuanzhen 3)，Jiang Changsheng 3)，and Huang Fuqiong 2) 1) College of Earth Science，Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences，Beijing 100049，China2) China Earthquake Networks Center，Beijing 100045，China3) Institute of Geophysics，China Earthquake Administration，Beijing 100081，China |
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| 摘 要： | Since the 1970s, Chinese seismologists have started to conduct the Annual Consultation on the Likelihood of Coming Earthquakes in the Next Year. This approach has unique scientific and practical merits either as an active response to the social needs in the situation that earthquake prediction research meets many difficulties, or as a real forward prediction test persistently conducted for 1/3 century. It is a pity that such an approach has not been well-known by international seismological community, and the scientific merits of such an endeavor is sometimes regrettably underestimated.
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| 关 键 词： | 地震风险 地震预报 地震灾害 预防措施 |
| 收稿时间： | 2007-08 |
Annual Consultation on the Likelihood of Earthquakes in Continental China: Its Scientific and Practical Merits |
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| Wu Zhongliang.Annual Consultation on the Likelihood of Earthquakes in Continental China: Its Scientific and Practical Merits[J].Earthquake Research in China,2007,21(4):365-371. |
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| Authors: | Wu Zhongliang |
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| Institution: | College of Earth Science, Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China;Institute of Geophysics, China Earthquake Administration, Beijing 100081, China |
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| Abstract: | Since the 1970s, Chinese seismologists have started to conduct the Annual Consultation on the Likelihood of Coming Earthquakes in the Next Year. This approach has unique scientific and practical merits either as an active response to the social needs in the situation that earthquake prediction research meets many difficulties, or as a real forward prediction test persistently conducted for 1/3 century. It is a pity that such an approach has not been well-known by international seismological community, and the scientific merits of such an endeavor is sometimes regrettably underestimated. |
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| Keywords: | Annual consultation Time-dependent seismic hazard Intermediate-term earthquake forecast Reduction of earthquake disasters |
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