| Empirical Approaches to Earthquake Prediction: A Brief Review of the Practice and Research in China |
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| 作者姓名： | Qian JiadongCenter for Analysis and Prediction CSB Beijing China |
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| 作者单位： | Qian JiadongCenter for Analysis and Prediction，CSB，Beijing 100036，China |
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| 摘 要： | This paper gives a brief review of some progress in the research and practice of earthquake prediction in China in terms of the study of strong earthquake cases in three disciplines of precursory means: crust deformation and strain, underground fluid dynamics, and geoelectro-magnettsm, summarized in the past 30-odd years. All the progress, however, shows that the research of earthquake prediction in China is still in the empirical stage of its development. The main tasks in this stage would involve the following aspects: (1) accumulating earthquake cases, particularly the cases of strong earthquakes with a wide variety of reliable precursory data observed by fixed or mobile networks of different disciplines; and (2) studying the physical mechanism of observational means in more detail and the synthetic model of earthquake preparation based on the theoretical and laboratory researches as well as the data of in-situ observation.
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Empirical Approaches to Earthquake Prediction: A Brief Review of the Practice and Research in China |
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| Qian JiadongCenter for Analysis and Prediction,CSB,Beijing ,China.Empirical Approaches to Earthquake Prediction: A Brief Review of the Practice and Research in China[J].Earthquake Research in China,1999(2). |
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| Authors: | Qian JiadongCenter for Analysis and Prediction CSB Beijing China |
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| Institution: | Qian JiadongCenter for Analysis and Prediction,CSB,Beijing 100036,China |
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| Abstract: | This paper gives a brief review of some progress in the research and practice of earthquake prediction in China in terms of the study of strong earthquake cases in three disciplines of precursory means: crust deformation and strain, underground fluid dynamics, and geoelectro-magnettsm, summarized in the past 30-odd years. All the progress, however, shows that the research of earthquake prediction in China is still in the empirical stage of its development. The main tasks in this stage would involve the following aspects: (1) accumulating earthquake cases, particularly the cases of strong earthquakes with a wide variety of reliable precursory data observed by fixed or mobile networks of different disciplines; and (2) studying the physical mechanism of observational means in more detail and the synthetic model of earthquake preparation based on the theoretical and laboratory researches as well as the data of in-situ observation. |
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| Keywords: | Earthquake prediction Crust deformation and strain Underground fluid dynamics Geoelectro-magnetism China |
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