| Probabilistic Estimation of Hazard on Engineering Site Based on the Intensity of Historic Earthquakes and A Preliminary Comparison with Seismic Hazard Analysis |
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| 作者姓名： | Zhang Jie and Shen JianwenSeismological Bureau of Anhui Province Hefei China |
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| 作者单位： | Zhang Jie and Shen JianwenSeismological Bureau of Anhui Province，Hefei 230031，China |
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| 摘 要： | This paper introduces a new method to estimate the seismic hazard on engineering site.The method is mainly based on intensity data of historical earthquakes.The obvious feature of the method is to use some ideas of seismic hazard analysis and considering regional seismicity tendency.The authors depict the comprehensive method to estimate the related parameters and predict the seismic hazards for 14 sites as practical examples.Some problems are also discussed.Compared with seismic hazard analysis,this method has certain advantages,such as simpler computation,lower uncertainty and smaller sensitivity factor.Moreover total hazard P(I≥i)of a site can be examined with real historic data.The result given by the method in this paper can be more stable than that given by seismic hazard analysis nowadays.
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Probabilistic Estimation of Hazard on Engineering Site Based on the Intensity of Historic Earthquakes and A Preliminary Comparison with Seismic Hazard Analysis |
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| Zhang Jie and Shen JianwenSeismological Bureau of Anhui Province,Hefei ,China.Probabilistic Estimation of Hazard on Engineering Site Based on the Intensity of Historic Earthquakes and A Preliminary Comparison with Seismic Hazard Analysis[J].Earthquake Research in China,1995(1). |
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| Authors: | Zhang Jie and Shen JianwenSeismological Bureau of Anhui Province Hefei China |
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| Institution: | Zhang Jie and Shen JianwenSeismological Bureau of Anhui Province,Hefei 230031,China |
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| Abstract: | |
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| Keywords: | Historical seismological data Seismic risk evaluation |
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