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Intermediate to Long-term Estimation of Strong Earthquake Risk Areas in the Chinese Mainland Based on Geodesic Measurements
作者姓名:Zhang Jing  Zhu Yiqing  Wu Yanqiang  Zhang Xi  Yang Guohua
作者单位:Key Laboratory of Earthquake Prediction, Institute of Earthquake Forecasting, CEA, Beijing 100036, China,The Second Monitoring and Application Center, CEA, Xi''an 710054, China,Key Laboratory of Earthquake Prediction, Institute of Earthquake Forecasting, CEA, Beijing 100036, China,The Second Monitoring and Application Center, CEA, Xi''an 710054, China,The First Monitoring and Application Center, CEA, Tianjin 300180, China
基金项目:This project is sponsored by the Special Fund for Earthquake Scientific Research of ERC.
摘    要:Based on previous research results, present-day crustal deformation and gravity fields in the Chinese mainland are analyzed using the GPS data, leveling, gravity and cross-fault deformations. We analyzed strain accumulation of the major faults, and identified locked or high strain accumulation segments. Combining the effects of large earthquakes in the study area, the long-term (decade) probability of large earthquakes in the Chinese mainland is estimated.

关 键 词:Estimation  of  earthquake  risk  area  Geodetic  measurement  The  Chinese  mainland
收稿时间:2017/1/3 0:00:00
修稿时间:2017/2/22 0:00:00

Intermediate to Long-term Estimation of Strong Earthquake Risk Areas in the Chinese Mainland Based on Geodesic Measurements
Zhang Jing,Zhu Yiqing,Wu Yanqiang,Zhang Xi,Yang Guohua.Intermediate to Long-term Estimation of Strong Earthquake Risk Areas in the Chinese Mainland Based on Geodesic Measurements[J].Earthquake Research in China,2018,32(2):153-172.
Authors:Zhang Jing  Zhu Yiqing  Wu Yanqiang  Zhang Xi and Yang Guohua
Abstract:Based on previous research results,present-day crustal deformation and gravity fields in the Chinese mainland are analyzed using the GPS data,leveling,gravity and cross-fault deformations. We analyzed strain accumulation of the major faults,and identified locked or high strain accumulation segments. Combining the effects of large earthquakes in the study area,the long-term (decade) probability of large earthquakes in the Chinese mainland is estimated.
Keywords:Estimation of earthquake risk area  Geodetic measurement  The Chinese mainland
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